Stock Analysis

Are Trustpower's (NZSE:TPW) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

NZSE:MNW
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Trustpower (NZSE:TPW).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Trustpower made a profit of NZ$90.2m on revenue of NZ$956.8m. The chart below shows how it has grown revenue over the last three years, but that profit has declined.

Check out our latest analysis for Trustpower

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:TPW Earnings and Revenue History December 4th 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Trustpower's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand Trustpower's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from NZ$12m worth of unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Trustpower doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Trustpower's Profit Performance

Arguably, Trustpower's statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Trustpower's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 38% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Trustpower, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Trustpower.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Trustpower's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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