Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Vital Limited's (NZSE:VTL) Share Price

NZSE:VTL
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Wireless Telecom industry in New Zealand have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, Vital Limited (NZSE:VTL) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Vital

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NZSE:VTL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 8th 2024

How Has Vital Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Vital's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Vital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Vital?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Vital's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 22,463,986% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Vital's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Vital's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's no surprise that Vital maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Vital is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Vital's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vital is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.