Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying EBOS Group's (NZSE:EBO) Earnings

NZSE:EBO
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EBOS Group Limited's (NZSE:EBO) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for EBOS Group

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NZSE:EBO Earnings and Revenue History February 26th 2022

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, EBOS Group increased the number of shares on issue by 15% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out EBOS Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting EBOS Group's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

EBOS Group has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 45% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 33% over the same period. And in the last year the company managed to bump profit up by 12%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 10% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So EBOS Group shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On EBOS Group's Profit Performance

EBOS Group shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that EBOS Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 33% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that EBOS Group has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of EBOS Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EBOS Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.