Restaurant Brands New Zealand Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Restaurant Brands New Zealand is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.4% and 2.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.3% in 3 years.

Key information

17.4%

Earnings growth rate

17.4%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	14.9%
Revenue growth rate	2.3%
Future return on equity	12.3%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	30 Aug 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Getting In Cheap On Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Might Be Difficult

Jul 19

An Intrinsic Calculation For Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Suggests It's 31% Undervalued

Dec 01

These 4 Measures Indicate That Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Is Using Debt Extensively

May 18

Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Nov 24

Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Aug 23

Should You Investigate Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) At NZ$9.61?

Jul 27

Is There Now An Opportunity In Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD)?

Dec 26

Does Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Nov 04

Should You Think About Buying Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Now?

Jun 06

Is Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Using Too Much Debt?

May 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:RBD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,568	40	70	152	2
12/31/2025	1,520	33	57	140	2
12/31/2024	1,461	26	52	135	2
6/30/2024	1,447	27	60	139	N/A
3/31/2024	1,421	21	54	133	N/A
12/31/2023	1,395	16	47	128	N/A
9/30/2023	1,377	18	42	125	N/A
6/30/2023	1,359	19	37	123	N/A
3/31/2023	1,329	26	37	122	N/A
12/31/2022	1,298	32	37	122	N/A
9/30/2022	1,230	32	30	117	N/A
6/30/2022	1,163	33	24	112	N/A
3/31/2022	1,139	42	33	119	N/A
12/31/2021	1,114	52	41	126	N/A
9/30/2021	1,104	53	55	131	N/A
6/30/2021	1,093	54	70	136	N/A
3/31/2021	1,009	42	60	123	N/A
12/31/2020	925	31	51	111	N/A
12/31/2019	880	36	34	105	N/A
9/9/2019	839	35	41	88	N/A
6/9/2019	833	36	38	79	N/A
2/25/2019	826	36	34	71	N/A
11/25/2018	819	36	36	74	N/A
9/10/2018	812	37	38	77	N/A
6/10/2018	789	36	N/A	73	N/A
2/26/2018	766	35	N/A	68	N/A
11/26/2017	708	34	N/A	61	N/A
9/11/2017	651	32	N/A	55	N/A
6/11/2017	584	29	N/A	51	N/A
2/27/2017	518	26	N/A	48	N/A
11/27/2016	485	25	N/A	46	N/A
9/12/2016	453	24	N/A	45	N/A
6/12/2016	428	24	N/A	44	N/A
2/29/2016	404	24	N/A	44	N/A
11/30/2015	402	25	N/A	44	N/A
9/14/2015	399	26	N/A	43	N/A
6/14/2015	386	25	N/A	40	N/A
3/2/2015	373	24	N/A	36	N/A
12/2/2014	360	23	N/A	38	N/A
9/8/2014	346	22	N/A	39	N/A
6/8/2014	338	21	N/A	36	N/A
2/24/2014	330	20	N/A	32	N/A
11/24/2013	326	19	N/A	32	N/A
9/9/2013	322	19	N/A	32	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RBD's forecast earnings growth (17.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: RBD's earnings (17.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (18% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RBD's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: RBD's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RBD's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RBD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 30%

Price target decreased by 13% to NZ$5.72

Price target increased by 17% to NZ$6.59

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.10 (vs NZ$0.017 in 1H 2023)

Getting In Cheap On Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Might Be Difficult

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 30%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Price target decreased by 13% to NZ$5.72

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 24, 2024

Price target increased by 17% to NZ$6.59

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2023

An Intrinsic Calculation For Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Suggests It's 31% Undervalued

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Announces Appointment of Arif Khan as Group Chief Executive Officer, Effective 1 September 2023

Price target decreased by 8.6% to NZ$5.93

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.017 (vs NZ$0.12 in 1H 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%

Price target decreased by 9.0% to NZ$6.97

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Price target decreased by 12% to NZ$7.93

These 4 Measures Indicate That Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Is Using Debt Extensively

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.19 per share at 2.4% yield

Insider recently bought NZ$94k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased by 7.5% to NZ$9.71

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) acquired KFC inside the Auckland Airport International Terminal.

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Announces Executive Change

Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Insufficient new directors

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Russel Creedy, Group Chief Executive Officer to Retire from Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited on March 31, 2023

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.12 (vs NZ$0.28 in 1H 2021)

Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Price target decreased to NZ$11.82

Consensus forecasts updated

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Half Year Ending 30 June 2022

Should You Investigate Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) At NZ$9.61?

High number of new directors

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Announces Final Dividend, Payable on 22 April 2022

Is There Now An Opportunity In Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD)?

Does Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Price target increased to NZ$14.89

Should You Think About Buying Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Now?

Is Restaurant Brands New Zealand (NZSE:RBD) Using Too Much Debt?

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) acquired Five KFC Stores In Northern Sydney.

New 90-day high: NZ$12.25

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS NZ$0.25 (vs NZ$0.29 in FY 2019)

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Feb 25, 2021

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Appoints Maria Elena Pato-Castel as Non-Executive Director, Effective from April 1, 2021

Analysts increase EPS estimates to NZ$0.43

New 90-day low: NZ$11.21

New 90-day low: NZ$11.60

New 90-day low: NZ$11.70

Analysts increase EPS estimates to NZ$0.30

Analysts increase EPS estimates to NZ$0.26

Price target lowered to NZ$10.83

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) completed the acquisition of 58 KFC stores and 11 multi-brand KFC and Taco Bell stores, together with a head office facility in Southern California, USA from Great American Chicken Corp. for $80.7 million.

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Sep 08, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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