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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Alternus Energy Group Plc's (OB:ALT) Revenues Despite 56% Price Jump
The Alternus Energy Group Plc (OB:ALT) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 56%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Alternus Energy Group may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Renewable Energy industry in Norway have P/S ratios greater than 4x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Alternus Energy Group
How Has Alternus Energy Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Alternus Energy Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Alternus Energy Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Alternus Energy Group?
Alternus Energy Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 50% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Alternus Energy Group's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Alternus Energy Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We're very surprised to see Alternus Energy Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Alternus Energy Group (5 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:ALT
Alternus Energy Group
Operates as an international vertically integrated independent power producer.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.