Stock Analysis

Norske Skog's (OB:NSKOG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Norske Skog ASA (OB:NSKOG) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

Check out our latest analysis for Norske Skog

earnings-and-revenue-history
OB:NSKOG Earnings and Revenue History October 28th 2024
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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Norske Skog's profit received a boost of kr538m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Norske Skog's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Norske Skog's Profit Performance

As previously mentioned, Norske Skog's large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Norske Skog's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Norske Skog at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Norske Skog (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Norske Skog's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Norske Skog might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OB:NSKOG

Norske Skog

Engages in the production and sale of publication and packaging paper products in Norway, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and Africa.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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