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Seadrill Valuation

Is SDRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SDRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SDRL (NOK404.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK5555.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SDRL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SDRL?

Key metric: As SDRL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SDRL. This is calculated by dividing SDRL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SDRL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsUS$476.00m
Market CapUS$2.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SDRL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SDRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
BORR Borr Drilling
12.4x37.5%NOK 11.6b
ODL Odfjell Drilling
15.5x53.3%NOK 12.7b
SHLF Shelf Drilling
7.9x61.3%NOK 3.6b
OTL Odfjell Technology
6x15.8%NOK 1.9b
SDRL Seadrill
5.2x11.5%NOK 2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SDRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SDRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the NO Energy Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SEA1 Sea1 Offshore
1.3x-37.3%US$361.18m
AWDR Awilco Drilling
0.2xn/aUS$30.26m
DWELLOP Dwellop
2xn/aUS$2.54m
No more companies available in this PE range
SDRL 5.2xIndustry Avg. 9.9xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SDRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the Norwegian Energy Services industry average (6.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SDRL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SDRL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SDRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SDRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
NOK 670.87
0%
11.5%NOK 848.53NOK 604.58n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
NOK 670.87
0%
11.5%NOK 848.53NOK 604.58n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
NOK 670.87
0%
11.5%NOK 848.53NOK 604.58n/a8
Sep ’25NOK 455.00
NOK 670.87
+47.4%
11.5%NOK 848.53NOK 604.58n/a8
Aug ’25NOK 594.50
NOK 698.52
+17.5%
12.7%NOK 857.52NOK 621.70n/a6
Jul ’25NOK 541.00
NOK 687.71
+27.1%
12.1%NOK 852.04NOK 617.73n/a7
Jun ’25NOK 528.50
NOK 693.67
+31.3%
13.3%NOK 855.95NOK 609.86n/a6
May ’25NOK 543.50
NOK 712.10
+31.0%
13.3%NOK 878.68NOK 626.06n/a6
Apr ’25NOK 535.00
NOK 662.43
+23.8%
8.5%NOK 782.06NOK 610.65n/a6
Mar ’25NOK 457.00
NOK 643.50
+40.8%
10.1%NOK 767.99NOK 547.06n/a6
Feb ’25NOK 458.00
NOK 646.44
+41.1%
11.1%NOK 788.34NOK 546.59n/a6
Jan ’25NOK 478.50
NOK 679.06
+41.9%
6.9%NOK 782.28NOK 651.90n/a6
Dec ’24NOK 480.00
NOK 647.60
+34.9%
1.4%NOK 660.93NOK 639.61n/a4
Nov ’24NOK 460.00
NOK 659.73
+43.4%
1.6%NOK 670.55NOK 648.92n/a4
Oct ’24NOK 484.00
NOK 659.73
+36.3%
1.6%NOK 670.55NOK 648.92n/a4
Sep ’24NOK 537.00
NOK 620.68
+15.6%
8.5%NOK 657.81NOK 530.49NOK 455.004
Aug ’24NOK 490.50
NOK 565.79
+15.4%
10.0%NOK 632.06NOK 509.72NOK 594.504
Jul ’24NOK 443.50
NOK 581.37
+31.1%
9.8%NOK 680.09NOK 548.46NOK 541.004
Jun ’24NOK 399.00
NOK 581.37
+45.7%
9.8%NOK 680.09NOK 548.46NOK 528.504
May ’24NOK 383.00
NOK 572.89
+49.6%
9.5%NOK 667.03NOK 537.93NOK 543.504
Apr ’24NOK 405.75
NOK 572.89
+41.2%
9.5%NOK 667.03NOK 537.93NOK 535.004
Mar ’24NOK 442.15
NOK 542.16
+22.6%
10.0%NOK 618.67NOK 498.92NOK 457.003
Feb ’24NOK 420.00
NOK 542.16
+29.1%
10.0%NOK 618.67NOK 498.92NOK 458.003
Jan ’24NOK 319.30
NOK 540.83
+69.4%
14.8%NOK 620.96NOK 460.71NOK 478.502
Dec ’23NOK 315.50
NOK 540.83
+71.4%
14.8%NOK 620.96NOK 460.71NOK 480.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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