Odfjell Drilling Valuation

Is ODL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ODL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ODL (NOK52.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK198.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ODL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ODL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ODL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.7x
PEG Ratio-15.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ODL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ODL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
BORR Borr Drilling
67.1x45.2%kr16.3b
OTL Odfjell Technology
7.1x7.1%kr2.4b
SIOFF Siem Offshore
4.3x-19.5%kr8.3b
BWO BW Offshore
4.6x-7.2%kr5.0b
ODL Odfjell Drilling
5.1x-0.3%kr12.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ODL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ODL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the NO Energy Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ODL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the Norwegian Energy Services industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ODL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ODL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ODL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ODL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr52.50
kr64.15
+22.2%
3.1%kr66.83kr62.24n/a4
Apr ’25kr48.70
kr57.73
+18.5%
12.6%kr64.98kr45.62n/a4
Mar ’25kr44.20
kr57.14
+29.3%
12.9%kr65.00kr45.04n/a4
Feb ’25kr41.15
kr52.24
+26.9%
15.3%kr65.70kr45.05n/a4
Jan ’25kr39.40
kr50.79
+28.9%
15.2%kr63.84kr43.78n/a4
Dec ’24kr34.50
kr48.46
+40.5%
4.2%kr50.12kr45.07n/a4
Nov ’24kr38.30
kr46.66
+21.8%
4.4%kr49.80kr44.40n/a4
Oct ’24kr37.85
kr46.92
+24.0%
4.8%kr50.44kr44.53n/a4
Sep ’24kr36.50
kr44.05
+20.7%
8.5%kr49.84kr39.49n/a4
Aug ’24kr29.35
kr37.32
+27.2%
7.0%kr40.31kr33.93n/a3
Jul ’24kr25.85
kr38.78
+50.0%
5.3%kr40.92kr36.03n/a3
Jun ’24kr26.00
kr40.42
+55.5%
6.3%kr42.96kr36.96n/a3
May ’24kr24.80
kr35.47
+43.0%
12.1%kr40.93kr30.49n/a3
Apr ’24kr26.45
kr34.81
+31.6%
12.0%kr40.05kr29.83kr48.703
Mar ’24kr27.10
kr37.17
+37.2%
12.7%kr42.85kr31.12kr44.204
Feb ’24kr26.40
kr32.84
+24.4%
14.7%kr41.21kr29.93kr41.154
Jan ’24kr26.30
kr32.77
+24.6%
14.7%kr41.12kr29.86kr39.404
Dec ’23kr26.25
kr32.72
+24.7%
15.3%kr41.38kr29.13kr34.504
Nov ’23kr27.50
kr32.49
+18.1%
14.0%kr40.25kr28.82kr38.304
Oct ’23kr23.90
kr32.49
+35.9%
14.0%kr40.25kr28.82kr37.854
Sep ’23kr27.45
kr32.49
+18.4%
14.0%kr40.25kr28.82kr36.504
Aug ’23kr22.60
kr30.42
+34.6%
11.4%kr34.38kr25.00kr29.354
Jul ’23kr22.45
kr30.36
+35.2%
10.8%kr33.31kr25.10kr25.854
Jun ’23kr26.50
kr27.75
+4.7%
7.5%kr29.42kr24.22kr26.004
May ’23kr24.50
kr27.75
+13.3%
7.5%kr29.42kr24.22kr24.804
Apr ’23kr24.20
kr28.44
+17.5%
6.7%kr30.04kr24.74kr26.455

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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