Stock Analysis

DNO (OB:DNO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

OB:DNO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that DNO ASA (OB:DNO) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for DNO

How Much Debt Does DNO Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that DNO had US$557.4m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has US$708.1m in cash, leading to a US$150.7m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:DNO Debt to Equity History January 21st 2024

A Look At DNO's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, DNO had liabilities of US$415.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$923.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$708.1m as well as receivables valued at US$238.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$392.0m.

This deficit isn't so bad because DNO is worth US$852.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, DNO boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Shareholders should be aware that DNO's EBIT was down 87% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DNO can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. DNO may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, DNO actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

Although DNO's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$150.7m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$35m, being 111% of its EBIT. So while DNO does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for DNO you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether DNO is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.