Stock Analysis

Slammed 28% Vow ASA (OB:VOW) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

OB:VOW
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Vow ASA (OB:VOW) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 80% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Vow's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Commercial Services industry in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.3x and even P/S above 424x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Vow

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:VOW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

How Vow Has Been Performing

Vow could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vow will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Vow?

Vow's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 15% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 131% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 13%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Vow's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Vow's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Vow's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Vow's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Vow (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.