Agilyx (OB:AGLX) - Share price, News & Analysis

AGLX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	0/6
Future Growth	5/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	5/6
Dividends	0/6

AGLX Stock Overview

Agilyx AS engages in recycling of difficult-to-recycle post-use plastic streams.

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 81.01% per year

Revenue grew by 12.8% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Does not have meaningful revenue ($5M)

Agilyx Competitors

VOW

OB:VOW

kr2.8b

Pyrum Innovations

OB:PYRUM

kr2.2b

Nordic Unmanned

OB:NUMND

kr691.8m

Aker Carbon Capture

OB:ACC

kr10.9b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Agilyx
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	kr29.70
52 Week High	kr42.50
52 Week Low	kr22.05
Beta	0
1 Month Change	-7.62%
3 Month Change	-15.14%
1 Year Change	0.68%
3 Year Change	n/a
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-7.48%

Shareholder Returns

	AGLX	NO Commercial Services	NO Market
7D	-0.7%	5.9%	0.3%
1Y	0.7%	-29.5%	8.1%

Return vs Industry: AGLX exceeded the Norwegian Commercial Services industry which returned -29.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGLX underperformed the Norwegian Market which returned 6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGLX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGLX volatility
AGLX Average Weekly Movement	6.5%
Commercial Services Industry Average Movement	7.9%
Market Average Movement	7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in NO Market	12.8%
10% least volatile stocks in NO Market	4.0%

Stable Share Price: AGLX is not significantly more volatile than the rest of Norwegian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AGLX's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2004	90	Tim Stedman	https://www.agilyx.com

Agilyx AS engages in recycling of difficult-to-recycle post-use plastic streams. The company through its chemical recycling technology, converts mixed plastic waste to plastics, as well as chemical products and fuels. The company, through its subsidiary, Cyclyx International, Inc, a feedstock management company, is working with various waste service providers, municipalities, petrochemical, and brand and retail companies to develop closed-loop advanced recycling solutions for mixed waste plastics.

Agilyx Fundamentals Summary

How do Agilyx's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGLX fundamental statistics
Market Cap	US$236.51m
Earnings (TTM)	-US$16.24m
Revenue (TTM)	US$4.89m

48.4x

P/S Ratio

-14.6x

P/E Ratio

Is AGLX overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
AGLX income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$4.89m
Cost of Revenue	US$4.83m
Gross Profit	US$63.41k
Other Expenses	US$16.31m
Earnings	-US$16.24m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2021

Next Earnings Date

Aug 26, 2022

Earnings per share (EPS)	-0.21
Gross Margin	1.30%
Net Profit Margin	-332.25%
Debt/Equity Ratio	5.4%

How did AGLX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is AGLX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGLX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for AGLX. This is calculated by dividing AGLX's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is AGLX's n/a Ratio?
n/a Ratio	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$236.51m

AGLX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	45.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-14.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AGLX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

AGLX PS Ratio vs Peers

The above table shows the PS ratio for AGLX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.5x
VOW VOW	6.7x	20.8%	kr2.8b
PYRUM Pyrum Innovations	56.2x	47.4%	kr2.2b
NUMND Nordic Unmanned	6.6x	n/a	kr691.8m
ACC Aker Carbon Capture	24.5x	52.5%	kr10.9b
AGLX Agilyx	48.4x	65.3%	kr2.3b

Forward PS

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AGLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (48.4x) compared to the peer average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGLX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AGLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (48.4x) compared to the Norwegian Commercial Services industry average (16.1x)

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGLX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGLX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	48.4x
Fair PS Ratio	20.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AGLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (48.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (20.9x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGLX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AGLX's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AGLX's fair value for valuation analysis.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGLX's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

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Future Growth

How is Agilyx forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?

Future Growth Score

5/6

Future Growth Score 5/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

81.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGLX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.1%).

Earnings vs Market: AGLX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AGLX is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AGLX's revenue (65.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Norwegian market (0.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGLX's revenue (65.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AGLX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.4%).

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Past Performance

How has Agilyx performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

0/6

Past Performance Score 0/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

-60.3%

Last years earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AGLX is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: AGLX is currently unprofitable.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: Insufficient data to determine if AGLX's year-on-year earnings growth rate was positive over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare AGLX's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: AGLX is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Commercial Services industry (39.1%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: AGLX has a negative Return on Equity (-72.72%), as it is currently unprofitable.

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Financial Health

How is Agilyx's financial position?

Financial Health Score

5/6

Financial Health Score 5/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Stable Cash Runway
Forecast Cash Runway

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AGLX's short term assets ($21.8M) exceed its short term liabilities ($4.9M).

Long Term Liabilities: AGLX's short term assets ($21.8M) exceed its long term liabilities ($37.2K).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AGLX has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if AGLX's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.

Balance Sheet

Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: AGLX has sufficient cash runway for more than a year based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: AGLX has sufficient cash runway for 1.5 years if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of 42.1% each year.

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Dividend

What is Agilyx current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate AGLX's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate AGLX's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AGLX's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AGLX's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as AGLX has not reported any payouts.

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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

Tim Stedman (51 yo)

1.83yrs

Tenure

Mr. Timothy Michael Stedman, also known as Tim, has been Chief Executive Officer at Agilyx AS since August 17, 2020 and served as its Director since August 2020 until May 12, 2022. He serves as CEO at Cycl...

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: AGLX's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.

Board Members

Experienced Board: AGLX's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.5 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 2.5%.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/06/28 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/06/28 00:00
Earnings	2021/12/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31