Tomra Systems ASA

OB:TOM Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 42.3b

Tomra Systems Valuation

Is TOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOM (NOK143) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NOK82.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOM is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOM?

Key metric: As TOM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TOM. This is calculated by dividing TOM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TOM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio70.6x
Earnings€51.36m
Market Cap€3.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
AUTO AutoStore Holdings
26x11.1%NOK 39.5b
CAMBI Cambi
17.1x13.3%NOK 2.3b
AKER Aker
13.4xn/aNOK 42.5b
SCANA Scana
11.9x7.5%NOK 1.3b
TOM Tomra Systems
70.6x44.2%NOK 42.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.6x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOM 70.6xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies30PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.6x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio70.6x
Fair PE Ratio50.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 143.00
NOK 145.29
+1.6%
16.1%NOK 165.00NOK 100.00n/a7
Nov ’25NOK 156.30
NOK 144.86
-7.3%
16.1%NOK 165.00NOK 100.00n/a7
Oct ’25NOK 153.20
NOK 142.00
-7.3%
16.3%NOK 160.00NOK 95.00n/a7
Sep ’25NOK 164.10
NOK 133.17
-18.9%
15.8%NOK 155.00NOK 95.00n/a6
Aug ’25NOK 176.00
NOK 128.00
-27.3%
15.9%NOK 155.00NOK 95.00n/a6
Jul ’25NOK 131.60
NOK 116.33
-11.6%
10.4%NOK 130.00NOK 95.00n/a6
Jun ’25NOK 137.80
NOK 116.50
-15.5%
10.4%NOK 130.00NOK 95.00n/a6
May ’25NOK 137.70
NOK 116.50
-15.4%
10.4%NOK 130.00NOK 95.00n/a6
Apr ’25NOK 169.55
NOK 103.00
-39.3%
20.4%NOK 130.00NOK 75.00n/a7
Mar ’25NOK 132.45
NOK 100.88
-23.8%
22.4%NOK 130.00NOK 75.00n/a8
Feb ’25NOK 105.65
NOK 89.88
-14.9%
20.3%NOK 121.00NOK 63.00n/a8
Jan ’25NOK 123.45
NOK 87.55
-29.1%
19.0%NOK 121.00NOK 63.00n/a8
Dec ’24NOK 110.00
NOK 87.55
-20.4%
19.0%NOK 121.00NOK 63.00n/a8
Nov ’24NOK 87.22
NOK 98.80
+13.3%
25.0%NOK 153.00NOK 75.00NOK 156.308
Oct ’24NOK 122.15
NOK 154.25
+26.3%
11.5%NOK 175.00NOK 123.00NOK 153.208
Sep ’24NOK 142.30
NOK 154.25
+8.4%
11.5%NOK 175.00NOK 123.00NOK 164.108
Aug ’24NOK 155.80
NOK 160.75
+3.2%
13.4%NOK 205.00NOK 139.00NOK 176.008
Jul ’24NOK 172.50
NOK 161.38
-6.4%
13.6%NOK 205.00NOK 139.00NOK 131.608
Jun ’24NOK 174.85
NOK 161.00
-7.9%
13.9%NOK 205.00NOK 136.00NOK 137.808
May ’24NOK 163.00
NOK 165.86
+1.8%
13.5%NOK 205.00NOK 140.00NOK 137.707
Apr ’24NOK 176.00
NOK 170.67
-3.0%
12.7%NOK 205.00NOK 140.00NOK 169.556
Mar ’24NOK 164.04
NOK 164.20
+0.1%
10.0%NOK 185.00NOK 140.00NOK 132.455
Feb ’24NOK 174.56
NOK 161.20
-7.7%
15.3%NOK 203.00NOK 138.00NOK 105.655
Jan ’24NOK 165.60
NOK 163.17
-1.5%
14.1%NOK 203.00NOK 138.00NOK 123.456
Dec ’23NOK 195.06
NOK 163.17
-16.4%
14.1%NOK 203.00NOK 138.00NOK 110.006
Nov ’23NOK 169.32
NOK 163.17
-3.6%
14.1%NOK 203.00NOK 138.00NOK 87.226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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