Stock Analysis

Is Tomra Systems ASA's (OB:TOM) Stock's Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

OB:TOM
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Most readers would already be aware that Tomra Systems' (OB:TOM) stock increased significantly by 30% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Tomra Systems' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Tomra Systems

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tomra Systems is:

11% = kr750m ÷ kr6.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every NOK1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of NOK0.11.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Tomra Systems' Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To start with, Tomra Systems' ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 12%. This certainly adds some context to Tomra Systems' moderate 6.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Tomra Systems' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 18% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
OB:TOM Past Earnings Growth March 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Tomra Systems is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Tomra Systems Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Tomra Systems has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Moreover, Tomra Systems is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 51%. However, Tomra Systems' ROE is predicted to rise to 20% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Tomra Systems' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.