Assessing AutoStore Holdings (OB:AUTO) Valuation Following Mixed Q3 2025 Results and Evolving Investor Sentiment

AutoStore Holdings (OB:AUTO) just published its third quarter 2025 results, showing a slight year-over-year dip in sales and revenue. Meanwhile, quarterly net income edged higher compared to last year. Investors are dissecting these updates closely.

See our latest analysis for AutoStore Holdings.

Despite concerns about softer sales in recent quarters, AutoStore Holdings’ share price is up 14.8% over the past three months, which hints at renewed optimism or shifting risk perceptions. However, the 1-year total shareholder return stands at -18.2%, reminding investors that longer-term momentum still has some ground to recover.

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With shares still trading nearly 18% below their level a year ago despite recent gains, the key question now is whether AutoStore Holdings is trading at a discount that reflects its true value, or if the market has already factored in the company’s future prospects. Could there be a buying opportunity, or is everything already priced in?

Most Popular Narrative: 8.4% Undervalued

The narrative by Mandelman puts AutoStore's fair value at NOK 10.5, modestly above the recent NOK 9.62 close. This suggests there is room for the share price to climb if the company can deliver on its growth catalysts.

“AutoStore’s cube-based, modular system delivers up to 60% more storage per square foot, enabling rapid expansion and optimal use of limited warehouse space, a critical advantage in booming e-commerce and urban environments. The convergence of surging e-commerce, persistent supply chain pressures, and the demand for leaner, more efficient operations creates a robust growth environment and supports the projected 14% CAGR over the next 5 to 10 years.”

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what ambitious financial projections set this valuation apart? The narrative’s entire pricing outlook is based on bold multi-year growth and margin assumptions not yet reflected in recent earnings. Find out why its fair value estimate may surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $10.5 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, slower-than-expected global adoption or operational setbacks could quickly challenge these optimistic growth and margin projections. This would leave the narrative vulnerable to a shift.

Find out about the key risks to this AutoStore Holdings narrative.

Another View: What Do Price-to-Earnings Ratios Say?

A second look at value comes from comparing AutoStore’s price-to-earnings ratio. At 39.1x, it is well above both the industry average of 19.3x and the peer average of 20.4x. While it is still under the fair ratio of 46.4x, this rich valuation could limit near-term upside, unless earnings accelerate. Will the market reward high growth potential, or is caution due?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Build Your Own AutoStore Holdings Narrative

If you want to chart your own path or reach a different conclusion, why not dive into the numbers and craft your perspective in just minutes with Do it your way

A great starting point for your AutoStore Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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