SpareBank 1 Nord-Norge Valuation

Is NONG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NONG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NONG (NOK119.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK260.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NONG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NONG?

Key metric: As NONG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NONG. This is calculated by dividing NONG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NONG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.5x
EarningsNOK 1.60b
Market CapNOK 11.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NONG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NONG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
MING SpareBank 1 SMN
7.9x3.6%NOK 24.0b
SOAG SpareBank 1 Østfold Akershus
7.8x-2.3%NOK 4.6b
MORG Sparebanken Møre
8x11.0%NOK 4.4b
HELG SpareBank 1 Helgeland
9.4x4.4%NOK 3.9b
NONG SpareBank 1 Nord-Norge
7.5x9.0%NOK 11.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NONG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NONG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the NO Banks Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFSB Flekkefjord Sparebank
1.4x3.9%US$15.13m
No more companies available in this PE range
NONG 7.5xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies12PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NONG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the Norwegian Banks industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NONG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NONG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio10x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NONG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NONG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 119.78
NOK 123.25
+2.9%
3.3%NOK 130.00NOK 120.00n/a4
Dec ’25NOK 118.22
NOK 123.25
+4.3%
3.3%NOK 130.00NOK 120.00n/a4
Nov ’25NOK 115.80
NOK 120.75
+4.3%
3.1%NOK 125.00NOK 115.00n/a4
Oct ’25NOK 106.50
NOK 119.50
+12.2%
3.2%NOK 125.00NOK 115.00n/a4
Sep ’25NOK 108.56
NOK 119.25
+9.8%
3.2%NOK 125.00NOK 115.00n/a4
Aug ’25NOK 108.10
NOK 113.50
+5.0%
6.1%NOK 120.00NOK 102.00n/a4
Jul ’25NOK 101.40
NOK 113.00
+11.4%
5.9%NOK 120.00NOK 102.00n/a4
Jun ’25NOK 100.20
NOK 113.00
+12.8%
5.9%NOK 120.00NOK 102.00n/a4
May ’25NOK 100.38
NOK 111.75
+11.3%
5.0%NOK 115.00NOK 102.00n/a4
Apr ’25NOK 95.60
NOK 115.00
+20.3%
3.1%NOK 120.00NOK 110.00n/a4
Mar ’25NOK 101.80
NOK 115.50
+13.5%
3.2%NOK 120.00NOK 110.00n/a4
Feb ’25NOK 104.20
NOK 114.25
+9.6%
3.8%NOK 120.00NOK 110.00n/a4
Jan ’25NOK 103.20
NOK 114.25
+10.7%
3.8%NOK 120.00NOK 110.00n/a4
Dec ’24NOK 96.00
NOK 114.25
+19.0%
3.8%NOK 120.00NOK 110.00NOK 118.224
Nov ’24NOK 94.90
NOK 113.00
+19.1%
5.2%NOK 120.00NOK 105.00NOK 115.804
Oct ’24NOK 95.70
NOK 114.25
+19.4%
6.6%NOK 125.00NOK 105.00NOK 106.504
Sep ’24NOK 94.80
NOK 113.75
+20.0%
6.5%NOK 125.00NOK 105.00NOK 108.564
Aug ’24NOK 96.90
NOK 112.25
+15.8%
7.6%NOK 125.00NOK 104.00NOK 108.104
Jul ’24NOK 97.10
NOK 112.25
+15.6%
7.6%NOK 125.00NOK 104.00NOK 101.404
Jun ’24NOK 90.60
NOK 111.50
+23.1%
7.5%NOK 125.00NOK 104.00NOK 100.204
May ’24NOK 96.50
NOK 109.75
+13.7%
5.8%NOK 120.00NOK 104.00NOK 100.384
Apr ’24NOK 88.10
NOK 108.50
+23.2%
4.0%NOK 115.00NOK 104.00NOK 95.604
Mar ’24NOK 102.60
NOK 107.25
+4.5%
4.2%NOK 115.00NOK 104.00NOK 101.804
Feb ’24NOK 93.20
NOK 106.25
+14.0%
6.1%NOK 115.00NOK 100.00NOK 104.204
Jan ’24NOK 96.00
NOK 106.25
+10.7%
6.1%NOK 115.00NOK 100.00NOK 103.204
Dec ’23NOK 91.70
NOK 105.75
+15.3%
6.6%NOK 115.00NOK 98.00NOK 96.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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