InPost Valuation

Is INPST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INPST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INPST (€16.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€52.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INPST is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INPST?

Key metric: As INPST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for INPST. This is calculated by dividing INPST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is INPST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.2x
Earningszł1.00b
Market Capzł35.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INPST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INPST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
PNL PostNL
29.2x58.1%€525.2m
2618 JD Logistics
14.4x14.0%HK$84.9b
600233 YTO Express GroupLtd
12.3x12.6%CN¥49.3b
4263 SAL Saudi Logistics Services
29.3x9.9%ر.س20.5b
INPST InPost
35.2x26.6%€8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INPST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INPST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INPST 35.2xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INPST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INPST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INPST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.2x
Fair PE Ratio30.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: INPST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INPST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.51
€19.59
+18.6%
18.9%€23.25€8.18n/a16
Dec ’25€16.58
€19.64
+18.4%
18.9%€23.16€8.15n/a16
Nov ’25€17.91
€18.88
+5.4%
21.2%€22.97€8.10n/a16
Oct ’25€16.69
€18.41
+10.3%
20.1%€21.89€8.16n/a16
Sep ’25€16.66
€17.67
+6.1%
19.9%€21.22€8.14n/a15
Aug ’25€15.67
€17.71
+13.0%
19.9%€21.24€8.15n/a15
Jul ’25€16.25
€17.22
+6.0%
19.6%€20.95€8.04n/a15
Jun ’25€16.51
€16.78
+1.6%
18.6%€19.88€8.15n/a15
May ’25€15.13
€16.19
+7.0%
16.9%€18.92€8.12n/a14
Apr ’25€14.29
€14.88
+4.1%
17.4%€19.00€8.22n/a15
Mar ’25€14.48
€14.32
-1.1%
17.7%€18.16€8.22n/a15
Feb ’25€14.06
€13.83
-1.7%
16.7%€17.98€8.24n/a15
Jan ’25€12.52
€13.06
+4.3%
13.1%€15.10€8.26n/a15
Dec ’24€11.25
€13.15
+17.0%
13.0%€15.15€8.29€16.5815
Nov ’24€9.33
€12.99
+39.3%
14.3%€15.69€8.47€17.9115
Oct ’24€11.00
€12.53
+13.9%
20.2%€15.16€4.34€16.6915
Sep ’24€10.86
€10.98
+1.1%
19.5%€12.99€4.47€16.6615
Aug ’24€10.75
€10.84
+0.9%
18.3%€12.95€4.69€15.6715
Jul ’24€9.94
€10.84
+9.1%
18.2%€12.96€4.70€16.2515
Jun ’24€9.87
€10.41
+5.4%
18.3%€12.48€4.61€16.5114
May ’24€9.71
€10.13
+4.4%
18.3%€12.76€4.55€15.1313
Apr ’24€8.41
€9.67
+15.0%
21.2%€12.51€4.60€14.2912
Mar ’24€7.94
€9.58
+20.6%
20.8%€12.32€4.52€14.4812
Feb ’24€8.92
€9.51
+6.6%
21.6%€12.47€4.58€14.0612
Jan ’24€7.88
€8.57
+8.8%
22.7%€12.52€4.60€12.5212
Dec ’23€7.33
€8.46
+15.5%
21.3%€12.52€4.60€11.2512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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