ASM International Valuation

Is ASM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASM (€490.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€445.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASM?

Key metric: As ASM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASM. This is calculated by dividing ASM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.7x
Earnings€550.91m
Market Cap€24.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.2x
BESI BE Semiconductor Industries
48.1x30.1%€8.5b
ASML ASML Holding
35x18.8%€242.3b
6146 Disco
43.7x15.4%JP¥4.6t
ENTG Entegris
66x50.4%US$15.0b
ASM ASM International
43.7x21.7%€24.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the peer average (48.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASM 43.7xIndustry Avg. 14.0xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.7x
Fair PE Ratio39.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€490.70
€689.86
+40.6%
14.9%€960.00€540.00n/a21
Nov ’25€518.40
€693.34
+33.7%
16.3%€1,000.00€540.00n/a21
Oct ’25€581.60
€723.29
+24.4%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Sep ’25€611.00
€731.39
+19.7%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Aug ’25€624.00
€731.39
+17.2%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Jul ’25€701.40
€685.41
-2.3%
19.3%€1,000.00€432.00n/a20
Jun ’25€640.20
€634.76
-0.9%
14.4%€780.00€432.00n/a20
May ’25€595.20
€622.60
+4.6%
14.4%€780.00€432.00n/a20
Apr ’25€565.90
€576.86
+1.9%
14.8%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Mar ’25€569.40
€565.19
-0.7%
15.7%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Feb ’25€523.30
€505.68
-3.4%
17.8%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Jan ’25€469.95
€476.79
+1.5%
16.1%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Dec ’24€475.75
€466.53
-1.9%
15.9%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Nov ’24€396.75
€440.63
+11.1%
13.7%€600.00€350.00€518.4018
Oct ’24€397.50
€447.71
+12.6%
12.6%€600.00€350.00€581.6017
Sep ’24€443.10
€443.56
+0.1%
11.7%€600.00€360.00€611.0016
Aug ’24€433.95
€434.53
+0.1%
14.3%€600.00€320.00€624.0017
Jul ’24€388.35
€395.42
+1.8%
11.5%€480.00€320.00€701.4019
Jun ’24€402.60
€392.11
-2.6%
13.3%€480.00€285.00€640.2018
May ’24€328.05
€381.00
+16.1%
12.9%€480.00€285.00€595.2019
Apr ’24€371.90
€371.16
-0.2%
11.7%€480.00€290.00€565.9019
Mar ’24€303.60
€368.03
+21.2%
14.2%€480.00€250.00€569.4019
Feb ’24€314.55
€353.19
+12.3%
18.6%€480.00€200.00€523.3018
Jan ’24€235.65
€350.22
+48.6%
18.3%€480.00€200.00€469.9516
Dec ’23€273.50
€350.63
+28.2%
18.9%€480.00€200.00€475.7515
Nov ’23€227.60
€358.63
+57.6%
14.9%€480.00€280.00€396.7515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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