ASM International Valuation

Is ASM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASM (€564.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€454.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASM?

Key metric: As ASM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASM. This is calculated by dividing ASM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio50.3x
Earnings€550.91m
Market Cap€27.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.2x
BESI BE Semiconductor Industries
58.6x30.2%€10.4b
ASML ASML Holding
38.9x18.3%€269.7b
6146 Disco
42.9x14.6%JP¥4.5t
6857 Advantest
60.2x17.1%JP¥6.4t
ASM ASM International
50.3x21.5%€27.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.3x) compared to the peer average (50.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASM 50.3xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.3x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.3x
Fair PE Ratio39.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€564.20
€679.00
+20.3%
15.8%€960.00€519.00n/a22
Dec ’25€511.40
€692.85
+35.5%
15.1%€960.00€540.00n/a20
Nov ’25€518.40
€693.34
+33.7%
16.3%€1,000.00€540.00n/a21
Oct ’25€581.60
€723.29
+24.4%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Sep ’25€611.00
€731.39
+19.7%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Aug ’25€624.00
€731.39
+17.2%
17.1%€1,000.00€520.00n/a21
Jul ’25€701.40
€685.41
-2.3%
19.3%€1,000.00€432.00n/a20
Jun ’25€640.20
€634.76
-0.9%
14.4%€780.00€432.00n/a20
May ’25€595.20
€622.60
+4.6%
14.4%€780.00€432.00n/a20
Apr ’25€565.90
€576.86
+1.9%
14.8%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Mar ’25€569.40
€565.19
-0.7%
15.7%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Feb ’25€523.30
€505.68
-3.4%
17.8%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Jan ’25€469.95
€476.79
+1.5%
16.1%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Dec ’24€475.75
€466.53
-1.9%
15.9%€650.00€350.00€511.4019
Nov ’24€396.75
€440.63
+11.1%
13.7%€600.00€350.00€518.4018
Oct ’24€397.50
€447.71
+12.6%
12.6%€600.00€350.00€581.6017
Sep ’24€443.10
€443.56
+0.1%
11.7%€600.00€360.00€611.0016
Aug ’24€433.95
€434.53
+0.1%
14.3%€600.00€320.00€624.0017
Jul ’24€388.35
€395.42
+1.8%
11.5%€480.00€320.00€701.4019
Jun ’24€402.60
€392.11
-2.6%
13.3%€480.00€285.00€640.2018
May ’24€328.05
€381.00
+16.1%
12.9%€480.00€285.00€595.2019
Apr ’24€371.90
€371.16
-0.2%
11.7%€480.00€290.00€565.9019
Mar ’24€303.60
€368.03
+21.2%
14.2%€480.00€250.00€569.4019
Feb ’24€314.55
€353.19
+12.3%
18.6%€480.00€200.00€523.3018
Jan ’24€235.65
€350.22
+48.6%
18.3%€480.00€200.00€469.9516
Dec ’23€273.50
€350.63
+28.2%
18.9%€480.00€200.00€475.7515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:08
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ASM International NV is covered by 41 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wim GilleABN AMRO Bank N.V.
James FontanelliArete Research Services LLP
Keagan Bryce-BorthwickBarclays