ASM International Valuation

Is ASM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASM (€544.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€341.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ASM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA34x
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average66.8x
BESI BE Semiconductor Industries
60.3x24.5%€10.7b
ASML ASML Holding
46.5x20.1%€330.3b
6857 Advantest
54.5x23.8%JP¥4.2t
ENTG Entegris
106x41.6%US$19.2b
ASM ASM International
35.6x11.3%€26.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the peer average (66.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.6x
Fair PE Ratio39.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€544.80
€592.40
+8.7%
13.6%€740.00€432.00n/a20
Apr ’25€565.90
€573.76
+1.4%
14.6%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Mar ’25€569.40
€562.10
-1.3%
15.3%€740.00€410.00n/a21
Feb ’25€523.30
€505.68
-3.4%
17.8%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Jan ’25€469.95
€476.79
+1.5%
16.1%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Dec ’24€475.75
€466.53
-1.9%
15.9%€650.00€350.00n/a19
Nov ’24€396.75
€440.63
+11.1%
13.7%€600.00€350.00n/a18
Oct ’24€397.50
€447.71
+12.6%
12.6%€600.00€350.00n/a17
Sep ’24€443.10
€443.56
+0.1%
11.7%€600.00€360.00n/a16
Aug ’24€433.95
€434.53
+0.1%
14.3%€600.00€320.00n/a17
Jul ’24€388.35
€395.42
+1.8%
11.5%€480.00€320.00n/a19
Jun ’24€402.60
€392.11
-2.6%
13.3%€480.00€285.00n/a18
May ’24€328.05
€381.00
+16.1%
12.9%€480.00€285.00n/a19
Apr ’24€371.90
€375.67
+1.0%
10.7%€480.00€300.00€565.9018
Mar ’24€303.60
€368.03
+21.2%
14.2%€480.00€250.00€569.4019
Feb ’24€314.55
€353.19
+12.3%
18.6%€480.00€200.00€523.3018
Jan ’24€235.65
€350.22
+48.6%
18.3%€480.00€200.00€469.9516
Dec ’23€273.50
€350.63
+28.2%
18.9%€480.00€200.00€475.7515
Nov ’23€227.60
€358.63
+57.6%
14.9%€480.00€280.00€396.7515
Oct ’23€233.75
€383.32
+64.0%
17.3%€500.00€280.00€397.5014
Sep ’23€261.30
€383.32
+46.7%
17.3%€500.00€280.00€443.1014
Aug ’23€301.70
€375.94
+24.6%
17.3%€500.00€280.00€433.9514
Jul ’23€216.25
€408.29
+88.8%
14.6%€500.00€280.00€388.3514
Jun ’23€288.30
€410.41
+42.4%
14.2%€500.00€280.00€402.6015
May ’23€289.90
€411.62
+42.0%
14.7%€500.00€280.00€328.0514
Apr ’23€326.00
€405.91
+24.5%
20.4%€595.00€280.00€371.9015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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