Disco Corporation

TSE:6146 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥4.6t

Disco Valuation

Is 6146 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6146 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6146 (¥42440) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥21822.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6146 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6146?

Key metric: As 6146 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6146. This is calculated by dividing 6146's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6146's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.8x
EarningsJP¥104.94b
Market CapJP¥4.60t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6146's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6146 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.8x
6857 Advantest
65.7x17.3%JP¥6.7t
8035 Tokyo Electron
21.5x13.2%JP¥10.1t
6920 Lasertec
26x15.5%JP¥1.6t
7735 SCREEN Holdings
9.9x7.0%JP¥816.1b
6146 Disco
43.8x15.5%JP¥4.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6146 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the peer average (30.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6146's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3856 Abalance
1.6xn/aUS$95.14m
No more companies available in this PE range
6146 43.8xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6146 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the JP Semiconductor industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6146's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6146 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.8x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6146 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6146 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥42,440.00
JP¥48,196.88
+13.6%
18.7%JP¥66,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
Nov ’25JP¥42,810.00
JP¥47,884.38
+11.9%
18.7%JP¥66,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
Oct ’25JP¥39,360.00
JP¥54,242.86
+37.8%
15.6%JP¥72,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a14
Sep ’25JP¥42,660.00
JP¥58,113.33
+36.2%
17.9%JP¥78,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a15
Aug ’25JP¥47,710.00
JP¥62,613.33
+31.2%
15.6%JP¥78,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a15
Jul ’25JP¥60,740.00
JP¥59,793.75
-1.6%
16.8%JP¥78,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
Jun ’25JP¥61,490.00
JP¥55,668.75
-9.5%
16.5%JP¥75,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
May ’25JP¥46,120.00
JP¥52,937.50
+14.8%
14.4%JP¥65,000.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
Apr ’25JP¥55,820.00
JP¥50,606.25
-9.3%
11.5%JP¥61,200.00JP¥37,000.00n/a16
Mar ’25JP¥50,090.00
JP¥47,043.75
-6.1%
14.5%JP¥57,000.00JP¥30,000.00n/a16
Feb ’25JP¥40,000.00
JP¥40,325.00
+0.8%
17.0%JP¥50,000.00JP¥25,500.00n/a16
Jan ’25JP¥34,980.00
JP¥34,418.75
-1.6%
12.9%JP¥40,000.00JP¥25,500.00n/a16
Dec ’24JP¥31,630.00
JP¥31,779.41
+0.5%
17.2%JP¥39,000.00JP¥15,000.00n/a17
Nov ’24JP¥26,140.00
JP¥29,700.00
+13.6%
18.7%JP¥39,000.00JP¥15,000.00JP¥42,810.0017
Oct ’24JP¥27,580.00
JP¥27,570.59
-0.03%
16.8%JP¥35,000.00JP¥15,000.00JP¥39,360.0017
Sep ’24JP¥28,075.00
JP¥24,952.94
-11.1%
23.4%JP¥32,000.00JP¥12,500.00JP¥42,660.0017
Aug ’24JP¥27,720.00
JP¥24,170.59
-12.8%
22.4%JP¥32,000.00JP¥12,500.00JP¥47,710.0017
Jul ’24JP¥22,610.00
JP¥20,402.94
-9.8%
24.7%JP¥29,800.00JP¥12,500.00JP¥60,740.0017
Jun ’24JP¥20,580.00
JP¥17,188.24
-16.5%
17.5%JP¥23,000.00JP¥12,500.00JP¥61,490.0017
May ’24JP¥15,500.00
JP¥15,085.42
-2.7%
17.5%JP¥20,000.00JP¥11,533.33JP¥46,120.0016
Apr ’24JP¥15,300.00
JP¥13,957.73
-8.8%
14.7%JP¥18,333.00JP¥11,000.00JP¥55,820.0015
Mar ’24JP¥14,533.33
JP¥13,846.67
-4.7%
14.0%JP¥18,333.33JP¥11,000.00JP¥50,090.0015
Feb ’24JP¥13,100.00
JP¥13,197.92
+0.7%
13.0%JP¥16,166.67JP¥10,666.67JP¥40,000.0016
Jan ’24JP¥12,583.33
JP¥12,850.00
+2.1%
15.0%JP¥17,333.33JP¥10,333.33JP¥34,980.0016
Dec ’23JP¥13,633.33
JP¥12,245.83
-10.2%
12.0%JP¥14,666.67JP¥10,333.33JP¥31,630.0016
Nov ’23JP¥11,950.00
JP¥11,489.58
-3.9%
12.5%JP¥14,333.33JP¥8,500.00JP¥26,140.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Shibaura Mechatronics

JP¥104.9b

Produces and sells manufacturing equipment for flat panel displays (FPDs), semiconductors, and electronic components in Japan, Northeastern Asia, and internationally.

6590

JP¥8,060.00

7D

-14.8%

1Y

6.2%

Renesas Electronics

JP¥3.6t

Researches, develops, designs, manufactures, sells, and services semiconductors in Japan, China, rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally.

6723

JP¥2,038.50

7D

-5.5%

1Y

-17.6%

Yamaichi ElectronicsLtd

JP¥52.0b

Manufactures and sells test, connector, and optical-related products in Japan and internationally.

6941

JP¥2,555.00

7D

-3.3%

1Y

40.5%