Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies SBM Offshore N.V. (AMS:SBMO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for SBM Offshore
What Is SBM Offshore's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, SBM Offshore had US$8.52b of debt, up from US$7.65b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$683.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$7.84b.
How Healthy Is SBM Offshore's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, SBM Offshore had liabilities of US$3.60b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$7.37b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$683.0m in cash and US$8.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.22b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$2.55b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SBM Offshore's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
SBM Offshore has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. The good news is that SBM Offshore grew its EBIT a smooth 38% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SBM Offshore can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, SBM Offshore saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both SBM Offshore's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that SBM Offshore's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for SBM Offshore (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTAM:SBMO
SBM Offshore
Provides floating production solutions to the offshore energy industry worldwide.
Very undervalued with solid track record.