Exor Valuation

Is EXO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXO (€93.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€301.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXO?

Key metric: As EXO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXO. This is calculated by dividing EXO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.2x
Earnings€16.73b
Market Cap€20.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45x
HAL HAL Trust
10.3x-0.5%€10.3b
ADYEN Adyen
47.2x19.8%€38.9b
CVC CVC Capital Partners
80.9x41.5%€22.3b
ALLFG Allfunds Group
41.6x27.3%€3.3b
EXO Exor
1.2x-87.4%€20.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.6x-15.4%
EXO Exor
1.2x-87.4%US$21.17b
EXO 1.2xIndustry Avg. 10.6xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.6x-15.4%
EXO Exor
1.2x-87.4%US$21.17b
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.2x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.2x
Fair PE Ratio4.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€93.60
€123.86
+32.3%
4.4%€130.00€113.00n/a7
Nov ’25€97.70
€123.86
+26.8%
4.4%€130.00€113.00n/a7
Oct ’25€97.15
€118.00
+21.5%
13.6%€130.00€84.00n/a6
Sep ’25€100.60
€118.00
+17.3%
13.7%€130.00€84.00n/a6
Aug ’25€93.80
€118.00
+25.8%
13.7%€130.00€84.00n/a6
Jul ’25€97.70
€117.43
+20.2%
12.8%€130.00€84.00n/a7
Jun ’25€102.90
€117.43
+14.1%
12.8%€130.00€84.00n/a7
May ’25€102.70
€123.00
+19.8%
5.6%€130.00€114.00n/a6
Apr ’25€103.05
€111.60
+8.3%
4.1%€115.00€103.00n/a5
Mar ’25€100.70
€107.00
+6.3%
10.4%€115.00€84.00n/a6
Feb ’25€91.86
€107.00
+16.5%
10.4%€115.00€84.00n/a6
Jan ’25€90.50
€106.33
+17.5%
10.7%€115.00€84.00n/a6
Dec ’24€89.92
€105.50
+17.3%
10.4%€115.00€84.00n/a6
Nov ’24€81.66
€102.40
+25.4%
10.4%€115.00€84.00€97.705
Oct ’24€83.94
€100.80
+20.1%
9.1%€110.00€84.00€97.155
Sep ’24€81.28
€99.25
+22.1%
9.1%€107.00€84.00€100.604
Aug ’24€84.02
€99.25
+18.1%
9.1%€107.00€84.00€93.804
Jul ’24€81.68
€99.25
+21.5%
9.1%€107.00€84.00€97.704
Jun ’24€78.52
€101.00
+28.6%
8.7%€108.00€84.00€102.905
May ’24€74.48
€98.00
+31.6%
9.4%€108.00€84.00€102.704
Apr ’24€75.84
€96.00
+26.6%
7.7%€103.00€84.00€103.054
Mar ’24€78.26
€96.00
+22.7%
7.7%€103.00€84.00€100.704
Feb ’24€73.10
€96.00
+31.3%
7.7%€103.00€84.00€91.864
Jan ’24€68.30
€96.00
+40.6%
7.7%€103.00€84.00€90.504
Dec ’23€76.82
€93.75
+22.0%
8.9%€103.00€84.00€89.924
Nov ’23€67.80
€93.00
+37.2%
13.7%€103.00€75.00€81.663

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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