Stock Analysis

Adyen's (AMS:ADYEN) 15% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

Published
ENXTAM:ADYEN

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Adyen share price has climbed 98% in five years, easily topping the market return of 73% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 42%.

Since it's been a strong week for Adyen shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Adyen

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Adyen achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 38% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 15% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. Having said that, the market is still optimistic, given the P/E ratio of 56.70.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

ENXTAM:ADYEN Earnings Per Share Growth August 16th 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Adyen's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Adyen has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 42% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 15% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Adyen better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Adyen you should know about.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Dutch exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.