Sif Holding Valuation

Is SIFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SIFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SIFG (€12.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€225.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SIFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SIFG?

Key metric: As SIFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SIFG. This is calculated by dividing SIFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SIFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.2x
Earnings€11.40m
Market Cap€365.84m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SIFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SIFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
ALFEN Alfen
28.5x42.6%€269.6m
TWEKA TKH Group
11.1x11.0%€1.3b
HEIJM Koninklijke Heijmans
9.3x17.1%€735.0m
ENVI Envipco Holding
61.8x84.6%€270.0m
SIFG Sif Holding
32.2x78.4%€365.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SIFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SIFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SIFG 32.2xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SIFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SIFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SIFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.2x
Fair PE Ratio39.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SIFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SIFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.30
€18.93
+53.9%
6.9%€20.50€17.30n/a3
Nov ’25€14.02
€18.93
+35.0%
6.9%€20.50€17.30n/a3
Oct ’25€15.60
€17.93
+15.0%
10.5%€20.50€16.00n/a3
Sep ’25€11.56
€15.10
+30.6%
14.9%€17.30€12.00n/a3
Aug ’25€12.30
€15.10
+22.8%
14.9%€17.30€12.00n/a3
Jul ’25€12.20
€13.33
+9.3%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
Jun ’25€10.16
€13.33
+31.2%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
May ’25€10.14
€13.33
+31.5%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
Apr ’25€10.70
€13.33
+24.6%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
Mar ’25€9.88
€13.33
+35.0%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
Feb ’25€10.26
€13.33
+30.0%
14.1%€16.00€12.00n/a3
Jan ’25€10.44
€12.33
+18.1%
23.2%€16.00€9.00n/a3
Dec ’24€9.51
€12.33
+29.7%
23.2%€16.00€9.00n/a3
Nov ’24€9.43
€15.33
+62.6%
16.3%€18.00€12.00€14.023
Oct ’24€9.87
€15.33
+55.4%
16.3%€18.00€12.00€15.603
Sep ’24€11.06
€15.33
+38.6%
16.3%€18.00€12.00€11.563
Aug ’24€12.80
€14.20
+10.9%
19.0%€18.00€12.00€12.303
Jul ’24€13.30
€14.20
+6.7%
19.0%€18.00€12.00€12.203
Jun ’24€13.86
€14.00
+1.0%
15.4%€17.00€12.00€10.163
May ’24€12.00
€13.00
+8.3%
18.8%€16.00€10.00€10.143
Apr ’24€12.00
€13.00
+8.3%
18.8%€16.00€10.00€10.703
Mar ’24€12.32
€12.75
+3.5%
17.0%€16.00€10.00€9.884
Feb ’24€11.20
€12.75
+13.8%
17.0%€16.00€10.00€10.264
Jan ’24€11.60
€12.75
+9.9%
17.0%€16.00€10.00€10.444
Dec ’23€11.82
€12.75
+7.9%
17.0%€16.00€10.00€9.514
Nov ’23€10.46
€12.75
+21.9%
17.0%€16.00€10.00€9.434

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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