Stock Analysis

Here's Why Perak Transit Berhad (KLSE:PTRANS) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:PTRANS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Perak Transit Berhad (KLSE:PTRANS) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Perak Transit Berhad

What Is Perak Transit Berhad's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Perak Transit Berhad had RM524.1m of debt at March 2024, down from RM573.1m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM60.2m, its net debt is less, at about RM463.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:PTRANS Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024

A Look At Perak Transit Berhad's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Perak Transit Berhad had liabilities of RM95.6m due within a year, and liabilities of RM514.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM60.2m as well as receivables valued at RM40.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM510.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of RM763.5m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Perak Transit Berhad has net debt to EBITDA of 4.2 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 9.0 suggests it can easily service that debt. Unfortunately, Perak Transit Berhad saw its EBIT slide 7.0% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Perak Transit Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Perak Transit Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Perak Transit Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Perak Transit Berhad's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Perak Transit Berhad , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.