Telekom Malaysia Berhad Valuation

Is TM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TM (MYR6.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MYR7.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TM?

Key metric: As TM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TM. This is calculated by dividing TM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsRM 1.79b
Market CapRM 24.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.2x
OCK OCK Group Berhad
14x26.7%RM 496.9m
MAXIS Maxis Berhad
24.7x12.2%RM 28.0b
AXIATA Axiata Group Berhad
103.6x37.7%RM 20.8b
TIMECOM TIME dotCom Berhad
22.6x11.8%RM 8.9b
TM Telekom Malaysia Berhad
13.6x1.7%RM 24.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (41.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Telecom Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TM 13.6xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the Asian Telecom industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRM 6.34
RM 7.67
+20.9%
13.6%RM 8.80RM 4.20n/a21
Nov ’25RM 6.51
RM 7.67
+17.8%
13.6%RM 8.80RM 4.20n/a21
Oct ’25RM 6.73
RM 7.67
+13.9%
13.6%RM 8.80RM 4.20n/a21
Sep ’25RM 6.76
RM 7.50
+11.0%
15.2%RM 8.80RM 4.20n/a20
Aug ’25RM 6.97
RM 7.39
+6.0%
15.7%RM 8.80RM 4.10n/a20
Jul ’25RM 6.78
RM 7.10
+4.7%
15.3%RM 8.75RM 4.10n/a20
Jun ’25RM 6.21
RM 6.64
+6.9%
12.7%RM 7.53RM 4.10n/a21
May ’25RM 6.19
RM 6.46
+4.4%
14.2%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Apr ’25RM 5.99
RM 6.39
+6.6%
14.7%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Mar ’25RM 5.99
RM 6.39
+6.6%
14.7%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Feb ’25RM 5.92
RM 6.25
+5.6%
14.6%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Jan ’25RM 5.55
RM 6.21
+11.9%
14.3%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Dec ’24RM 5.30
RM 6.18
+16.7%
14.6%RM 7.30RM 3.60n/a21
Nov ’24RM 5.07
RM 6.11
+20.5%
13.9%RM 7.15RM 3.60RM 6.5121
Oct ’24RM 4.90
RM 6.09
+24.2%
13.9%RM 7.15RM 3.60RM 6.7321
Sep ’24RM 5.20
RM 6.11
+17.5%
13.7%RM 7.15RM 3.60RM 6.7622
Aug ’24RM 5.04
RM 6.25
+24.0%
13.8%RM 7.58RM 3.60RM 6.9722
Jul ’24RM 4.91
RM 6.28
+27.8%
13.1%RM 7.58RM 3.60RM 6.7822
Jun ’24RM 5.10
RM 6.28
+23.0%
13.1%RM 7.58RM 3.60RM 6.2122
May ’24RM 4.96
RM 6.33
+27.6%
14.5%RM 7.69RM 3.60RM 6.1922
Apr ’24RM 4.90
RM 6.33
+29.2%
14.5%RM 7.69RM 3.60RM 5.9922
Mar ’24RM 4.96
RM 6.47
+30.4%
14.5%RM 7.75RM 3.60RM 5.9922
Feb ’24RM 5.22
RM 6.79
+30.0%
15.2%RM 8.30RM 3.60RM 5.9221
Jan ’24RM 5.40
RM 6.84
+26.7%
14.4%RM 8.30RM 3.60RM 5.5521
Dec ’23RM 5.64
RM 6.90
+22.3%
15.1%RM 8.40RM 3.60RM 5.3021
Nov ’23RM 5.44
RM 6.87
+26.3%
15.1%RM 8.40RM 3.60RM 5.0721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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