Stock Analysis

Is Privasia Technology Berhad (KLSE:PRIVA) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:PRIVA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Privasia Technology Berhad (KLSE:PRIVA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Privasia Technology Berhad

How Much Debt Does Privasia Technology Berhad Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Privasia Technology Berhad had debt of RM13.8m, up from RM12.9m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM1.21m, its net debt is less, at about RM12.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:PRIVA Debt to Equity History October 30th 2023

How Healthy Is Privasia Technology Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Privasia Technology Berhad had liabilities of RM96.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM5.73m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM1.21m in cash and RM102.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

This surplus suggests that Privasia Technology Berhad has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Privasia Technology Berhad has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.9 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. We also note that Privasia Technology Berhad improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive RM3.5m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Privasia Technology Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Privasia Technology Berhad barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

Privasia Technology Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its level of total liabilities is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Privasia Technology Berhad is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Privasia Technology Berhad that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Privasia Technology Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.