Stock Analysis

IFCA MSC Berhad (KLSE:IFCAMSC) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

KLSE:IFCAMSC
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Despite an already strong run, IFCA MSC Berhad (KLSE:IFCAMSC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 73%.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that IFCA MSC Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in Malaysia, where the median P/S ratio is around 3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for IFCA MSC Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:IFCAMSC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024

How Has IFCA MSC Berhad Performed Recently?

IFCA MSC Berhad has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on IFCA MSC Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, IFCA MSC Berhad would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.4%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 3.7% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that IFCA MSC Berhad's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

IFCA MSC Berhad appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that IFCA MSC Berhad trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with IFCA MSC Berhad (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.