Stock Analysis

Does OSK Holdings Berhad (KLSE:OSK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

KLSE:OSK
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies OSK Holdings Berhad (KLSE:OSK) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for OSK Holdings Berhad

What Is OSK Holdings Berhad's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that OSK Holdings Berhad had RM2.32b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had RM632.4m in cash, and so its net debt is RM1.69b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:OSK Debt to Equity History January 8th 2021

How Healthy Is OSK Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that OSK Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM1.33b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM1.91b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM632.4m as well as receivables valued at RM304.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM2.30b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's RM1.80b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7, it's fair to say OSK Holdings Berhad does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Sadly, OSK Holdings Berhad's EBIT actually dropped 2.6% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is OSK Holdings Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, OSK Holdings Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say OSK Holdings Berhad's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making OSK Holdings Berhad stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for OSK Holdings Berhad you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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