Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Eco World Development Group Berhad (KLSE:ECOWLD) Is Using Debt Extensively

KLSE:ECOWLD
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Eco World Development Group Berhad (KLSE:ECOWLD) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Eco World Development Group Berhad

How Much Debt Does Eco World Development Group Berhad Carry?

As you can see below, Eco World Development Group Berhad had RM3.32b of debt at October 2020, down from RM3.78b a year prior. However, it also had RM289.6m in cash, and so its net debt is RM3.03b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:ECOWLD Debt to Equity History December 31st 2020

How Healthy Is Eco World Development Group Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Eco World Development Group Berhad had liabilities of RM4.04b due within a year, and liabilities of RM1.64b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM289.6m and RM949.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total RM4.44b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM1.47b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Eco World Development Group Berhad would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Eco World Development Group Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (37.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.58 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Eco World Development Group Berhad saw its EBIT tank 70% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Eco World Development Group Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Eco World Development Group Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Eco World Development Group Berhad's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Eco World Development Group Berhad has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Eco World Development Group Berhad you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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