Stock Analysis

Investors Give OCR Group Berhad (KLSE:OCR) Shares A 36% Hiding

KLSE:OCR
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, OCR Group Berhad (KLSE:OCR) shares are down a considerable 36% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 56% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, OCR Group Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in Malaysia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for OCR Group Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:OCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024

What Does OCR Group Berhad's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at OCR Group Berhad over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on OCR Group Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For OCR Group Berhad?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as OCR Group Berhad's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 142% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.8% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that OCR Group Berhad is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

OCR Group Berhad's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Real Estate companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of OCR Group Berhad revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for OCR Group Berhad you should be aware of, and 3 of them are potentially serious.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.