We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Alcom Group Berhad's (KLSE:ALCOM) Earnings

Alcom Group Berhad's (KLSE:ALCOM) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Alcom Group Berhad

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:ALCOM Earnings and Revenue History February 28th 2022
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A Closer Look At Alcom Group Berhad's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Alcom Group Berhad has an accrual ratio of 0.26 for the year to December 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of RM43m despite its profit of RM32.5m, mentioned above. We also note that Alcom Group Berhad's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of RM43m.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Alcom Group Berhad.

Our Take On Alcom Group Berhad's Profit Performance

Alcom Group Berhad's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Alcom Group Berhad's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Alcom Group Berhad as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for Alcom Group Berhad (2 are concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Alcom Group Berhad's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure.

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure. cover
2219
ST
steve_investor

Is it a safer bet on gold to have just exposure to ETFs?

MA
marcus_l38oa

Between 2003 and 2011, gold nearly went 5x. Dollar went weak too. The gold companies did bad. It is worth noting that between 2003 and 2011, there was 2008! I will leave it your inference and research.

Mitchell Lawler

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Every new payment app was supposed to kill Visa and Mastercard. Instead, they got bigger. So what does that mean for the payment stocks on your radar?
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About KLSE:ALCOM

Alcom Group Berhad

An investment holding company, manufactures and trades aluminum sheets and coils products in Malaysia, the United States, Thailand, India, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and internationally.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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