Stock Analysis

Does NPC Resources Berhad (KLSE:NPC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

KLSE:NPC
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that NPC Resources Berhad (KLSE:NPC) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for NPC Resources Berhad

What Is NPC Resources Berhad's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NPC Resources Berhad had debt of RM442.2m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from RM591.5m over a year. However, it also had RM13.0m in cash, and so its net debt is RM429.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:NPC Debt to Equity History April 6th 2021

How Healthy Is NPC Resources Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NPC Resources Berhad had liabilities of RM417.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM389.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM13.0m and RM17.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM777.3m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM222.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, NPC Resources Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

NPC Resources Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.39 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for NPC Resources Berhad is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of RM7.3m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NPC Resources Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, NPC Resources Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both NPC Resources Berhad's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider NPC Resources Berhad to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with NPC Resources Berhad (including 1 which is significant) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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