Stock Analysis

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NESTLE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To MYR1.28

KLSE:NESTLE
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The board of Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NESTLE) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of MYR1.28 on the 16th of May, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 2.2% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Before making this announcement, Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 27.4% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 75% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

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KLSE:NESTLE Historic Dividend March 4th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of MYR2.35 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of MYR2.68. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.3% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Unfortunately, Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad that you should be aware of before investing. Is Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.