Stock Analysis

Yinson Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YINSON) Has No Shortage Of Debt

KLSE:YINSON
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yinson Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YINSON) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Yinson Holdings Berhad

How Much Debt Does Yinson Holdings Berhad Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of July 2022 Yinson Holdings Berhad had RM10.0b of debt, an increase on RM7.33b, over one year. However, it also had RM3.87b in cash, and so its net debt is RM6.15b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:YINSON Debt to Equity History September 27th 2022

A Look At Yinson Holdings Berhad's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yinson Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM2.91b due within a year, and liabilities of RM9.60b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM3.87b as well as receivables valued at RM892.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM7.75b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's RM6.24b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Yinson Holdings Berhad's debt is 4.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 2.8 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even more troubling is the fact that Yinson Holdings Berhad actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.5% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yinson Holdings Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Yinson Holdings Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Yinson Holdings Berhad's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Yinson Holdings Berhad has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Yinson Holdings Berhad (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.