PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad

KLSE:PETDAG Stock Report

Market Cap: RM21.4b

PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad Valuation

Is PETDAG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PETDAG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PETDAG (MYR21.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MYR12.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PETDAG is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PETDAG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PETDAG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.6x
PEG Ratio4.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PETDAG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PETDAG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
PETRONM Petron Malaysia Refining & Marketing Bhd
4.6xn/aRM1.3b
DIALOG Dialog Group Berhad
23.6x8.5%RM12.7b
YINSON Yinson Holdings Berhad
8.1x11.9%RM6.7b
QFLS Qatar Fuel Company Q.P.S.C. (WOQOD)
14.9xn/aر.ق14.6b
PETDAG PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad
22.6x4.6%RM21.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PETDAG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PETDAG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PETDAG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PETDAG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PETDAG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PETDAG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PETDAG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRM21.50
RM22.49
+4.6%
12.4%RM25.40RM16.80n/a10
Mar ’25RM22.42
RM22.49
+0.3%
12.4%RM25.40RM16.80n/a10
Feb ’25RM21.34
RM22.53
+5.6%
11.2%RM25.40RM17.79n/a10
Jan ’25RM21.84
RM22.53
+3.1%
11.2%RM25.40RM17.79n/a10
Dec ’24RM22.30
RM22.53
+1.0%
11.2%RM25.40RM17.79n/a10
Nov ’24RM22.80
RM23.42
+2.7%
9.8%RM24.91RM17.56n/a9
Oct ’24RM22.38
RM23.40
+4.5%
9.3%RM24.91RM17.56n/a10
Sep ’24RM23.18
RM23.40
+0.9%
9.3%RM24.91RM17.56n/a10
Aug ’24RM22.74
RM22.92
+0.8%
10.5%RM26.70RM17.56n/a10
Jul ’24RM22.20
RM22.92
+3.3%
10.5%RM26.70RM17.56n/a10
Jun ’24RM21.10
RM22.92
+8.6%
10.5%RM26.70RM17.56n/a10
May ’24RM22.64
RM21.59
-4.6%
13.4%RM26.70RM16.00n/a10
Apr ’24RM21.34
RM21.59
+1.2%
13.4%RM26.70RM16.00n/a10
Mar ’24RM20.64
RM21.59
+4.6%
13.4%RM26.70RM16.00RM22.4210
Feb ’24RM21.80
RM21.75
-0.2%
13.7%RM26.70RM16.00RM21.3410
Jan ’24RM23.00
RM21.75
-5.4%
13.7%RM26.70RM16.00RM21.8410
Dec ’23RM23.00
RM21.75
-5.4%
13.7%RM26.70RM16.00RM22.3010
Nov ’23RM21.70
RM20.77
-4.3%
13.4%RM24.80RM15.89RM22.8010
Oct ’23RM20.02
RM20.77
+3.8%
13.4%RM24.80RM15.89RM22.3810
Sep ’23RM21.64
RM20.77
-4.0%
13.4%RM24.80RM15.89RM23.1810
Aug ’23RM22.68
RM20.93
-7.7%
12.4%RM24.80RM16.00RM22.7410
Jul ’23RM20.94
RM20.93
-0.03%
12.4%RM24.80RM16.00RM22.2010
Jun ’23RM21.62
RM20.55
-5.0%
12.3%RM24.80RM16.00RM21.1010
May ’23RM21.74
RM20.66
-5.0%
11.6%RM25.30RM16.00RM22.6410
Apr ’23RM20.98
RM20.66
-1.5%
11.6%RM25.30RM16.00RM21.3410
Mar ’23RM20.40
RM20.44
+0.2%
10.0%RM23.10RM16.00RM20.6410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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