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Is Wegmans Holdings Berhad (KLSE:WEGMANS) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Wegmans Holdings Berhad (KLSE:WEGMANS) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Wegmans Holdings Berhad
What Is Wegmans Holdings Berhad's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Wegmans Holdings Berhad had RM31.9m of debt, up from RM22.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have RM9.74m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM22.2m.
A Look At Wegmans Holdings Berhad's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wegmans Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM34.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM23.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM9.74m and RM15.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM32.1m.
Of course, Wegmans Holdings Berhad has a market capitalization of RM167.5m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Wegmans Holdings Berhad has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.93. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 25.9 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In fact Wegmans Holdings Berhad's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 27% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wegmans Holdings Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Wegmans Holdings Berhad burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Wegmans Holdings Berhad's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Wegmans Holdings Berhad is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Wegmans Holdings Berhad (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KLSE:WEGMANS
Wegmans Holdings Berhad
An investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and sells home furniture products in Africa, rest of Asia, Australasia, Europe, North America, South America, and Malaysia.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.