CTOS Digital Berhad Valuation

Is CTOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • PM vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTOS (MYR1.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MYR1.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTOS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTOS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CTOS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA36.4x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.4x
MYEG My E.G. Services Berhad
14.3x7.2%RM5.9b
CCIB CC International Berhad
66.1xn/aRM167.9m
FRONTKN Frontken Corporation Berhad
52.1x19.8%RM5.8b
SCICOM Scicom (MSC) Berhad
13.2x11.2%RM387.4m
CTOS CTOS Digital Berhad
28.9x14.7%RM3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the peer average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the Asian Professional Services industry average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTOS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.5x

PM vs Fair Ratio: CTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRM1.48
RM1.85
+25.2%
11.5%RM2.10RM1.45n/a10
Feb ’25RM1.41
RM1.83
+29.8%
11.2%RM2.10RM1.45n/a10
Jan ’25RM1.41
RM1.80
+27.8%
11.5%RM2.07RM1.35n/a10
Dec ’24RM1.43
RM1.80
+26.0%
11.5%RM2.07RM1.35n/a10
Nov ’24RM1.44
RM1.80
+25.1%
11.5%RM2.07RM1.35n/a10
Oct ’24RM1.40
RM1.80
+28.6%
11.6%RM2.07RM1.35n/a10
Sep ’24RM1.40
RM1.83
+30.8%
12.6%RM2.20RM1.35n/a11
Aug ’24RM1.38
RM1.83
+32.6%
12.7%RM2.20RM1.35n/a11
Jul ’24RM1.39
RM1.86
+33.5%
11.8%RM2.20RM1.35n/a10
Jun ’24RM1.40
RM1.86
+32.6%
11.8%RM2.20RM1.35n/a10
May ’24RM1.41
RM1.82
+29.3%
12.8%RM2.20RM1.35n/a11
Apr ’24RM1.31
RM1.85
+41.0%
13.1%RM2.28RM1.45n/a10
Mar ’24RM1.40
RM1.85
+31.9%
13.1%RM2.28RM1.45n/a10
Feb ’24RM1.54
RM1.83
+18.6%
13.9%RM2.28RM1.45RM1.4110
Jan ’24RM1.42
RM1.80
+26.9%
13.1%RM2.17RM1.40RM1.4110
Dec ’23RM1.43
RM1.80
+26.0%
13.8%RM2.17RM1.40RM1.439
Nov ’23RM1.39
RM1.80
+29.7%
13.8%RM2.17RM1.40RM1.449
Oct ’23RM1.34
RM1.80
+34.1%
16.3%RM2.22RM1.35RM1.409
Sep ’23RM1.40
RM1.79
+27.6%
16.1%RM2.22RM1.35RM1.409
Aug ’23RM1.42
RM1.76
+23.8%
16.5%RM2.22RM1.35RM1.389
Jul ’23RM1.23
RM1.83
+49.1%
15.1%RM2.22RM1.43RM1.399
Jun ’23RM1.42
RM2.02
+42.6%
10.3%RM2.36RM1.65RM1.409
May ’23RM1.51
RM2.02
+34.1%
10.3%RM2.36RM1.65RM1.419
Apr ’23RM1.60
RM2.12
+32.6%
12.8%RM2.50RM1.80RM1.319
Mar ’23RM1.60
RM2.16
+35.2%
13.0%RM2.50RM1.80RM1.408
Feb ’23RM1.69
RM2.02
+19.5%
17.5%RM2.45RM1.36RM1.548

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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