Stock Analysis

Here's Why Zecon Berhad (KLSE:ZECON) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

KLSE:ZECON
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Zecon Berhad (KLSE:ZECON) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zecon Berhad

How Much Debt Does Zecon Berhad Carry?

As you can see below, Zecon Berhad had RM727.9m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have RM29.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM698.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:ZECON Debt to Equity History October 26th 2023

How Healthy Is Zecon Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zecon Berhad had liabilities of RM1.02b due within a year, and liabilities of RM120.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had RM29.7m in cash and RM144.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM970.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the RM63.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Zecon Berhad would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Zecon Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, Zecon Berhad saw its EBIT drop by 3.5% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zecon Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Zecon Berhad's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Zecon Berhad's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Zecon Berhad has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zecon Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zecon Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.