Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Naim Holdings Berhad (KLSE:NAIM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Naim Holdings Berhad
How Much Debt Does Naim Holdings Berhad Carry?
As you can see below, Naim Holdings Berhad had RM441.5m of debt at September 2020, down from RM509.8m a year prior. However, it also had RM203.3m in cash, and so its net debt is RM238.3m.
How Strong Is Naim Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Naim Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM693.0m due within a year, and liabilities of RM132.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM203.3m as well as receivables valued at RM202.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM419.3m.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM395.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Naim Holdings Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Naim Holdings Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Naim Holdings Berhad made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to RM266m, which is a fall of 46%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Naim Holdings Berhad's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at RM6.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through RM477k in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Naim Holdings Berhad that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KLSE:NAIM
Naim Holdings Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the property development and construction businesses in Malaysia and Fiji.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.