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Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's (KLSE:HAPSENG) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
There wouldn't be many who think Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's (KLSE:HAPSENG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Malaysia is similar at about 15x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
For example, consider that Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 38%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 43% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:HAPSENG
Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the plantation, property investment and development, credit financing, automotive, trading, and building materials businesses in Malaysia and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.