Stock Analysis

Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad (KLSE:AZRB) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

KLSE:AZRB
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Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad (KLSE:AZRB) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 34%.

Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Malaysia's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:AZRB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

What Does Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 51% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com