Stock Analysis

ABM Fujiya Berhad (KLSE:AFUJIYA) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

KLSE:AFUJIYA
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ABM Fujiya Berhad (KLSE:AFUJIYA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for ABM Fujiya Berhad

What Is ABM Fujiya Berhad's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 ABM Fujiya Berhad had RM91.8m of debt, an increase on RM66.0m, over one year. However, it does have RM6.78m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM85.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:AFUJIYA Debt to Equity History July 30th 2022

A Look At ABM Fujiya Berhad's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, ABM Fujiya Berhad had liabilities of RM142.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM11.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had RM6.78m in cash and RM54.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM92.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM64.8m, we think shareholders really should watch ABM Fujiya Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.2 hit our confidence in ABM Fujiya Berhad like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, ABM Fujiya Berhad's EBIT was down 43% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ABM Fujiya Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, ABM Fujiya Berhad recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both ABM Fujiya Berhad's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that ABM Fujiya Berhad is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for ABM Fujiya Berhad (3 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.