Saia Valuation
Is SAIA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SAIA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SAIA * (MX$8946.27) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$7104.76)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SAIA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAIA *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is SAIA *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$11.53b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 17.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SAIA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 15.7x | ||
TRAXION A Grupo Traxión. de | 13.9x | 22.3% | Mex$11.3b |
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de | 16.4x | 18.9% | Mex$151.4b |
ASUR B Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V | 13.9x | 9.4% | Mex$167.8b |
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de | 18.7x | 13.3% | Mex$176.9b |
SAIA * Saia | 30.5x | 13.1% | Mex$11.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAIA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SAIA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAIA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (16.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SAIA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 30.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SAIA *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$8,946.27 | Mex$9,116.32 +1.9% | 15.5% | Mex$11,479.57 | Mex$5,298.26 | n/a | 18 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$8,637.40 0% | 15.2% | Mex$10,283.57 | Mex$5,048.30 | n/a | 18 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$8,603.60 0% | 15.2% | Mex$10,242.10 | Mex$5,027.94 | n/a | 18 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$9,299.13 0% | 16.7% | Mex$11,065.40 | Mex$4,897.80 | n/a | 19 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$8,668.56 0% | 17.2% | Mex$10,207.07 | Mex$4,517.88 | n/a | 18 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$9,109.27 0% | 19.7% | Mex$13,496.86 | Mex$4,595.40 | n/a | 19 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$9,365.03 0% | 21.0% | Mex$13,291.71 | Mex$4,559.07 | n/a | 19 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$9,256.30 0% | 20.0% | Mex$13,558.87 | Mex$4,650.71 | n/a | 19 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$7,857.99 0% | 16.3% | Mex$10,329.42 | Mex$4,682.67 | n/a | 20 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$7,498.28 0% | 16.0% | Mex$10,355.16 | Mex$4,659.82 | n/a | 19 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$7,423.84 0% | 16.4% | Mex$10,309.86 | Mex$4,553.52 | n/a | 20 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$7,786.03 0% | 16.8% | Mex$10,817.88 | Mex$4,777.90 | n/a | 19 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$7,582.75 0% | 21.0% | Mex$10,533.12 | Mex$4,388.80 | Mex$8,946.27 | 16 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$7,321.64 0% | 20.5% | Mex$10,226.04 | Mex$4,260.85 | n/a | 17 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$7,272.65 0% | 20.4% | Mex$10,046.64 | Mex$4,186.10 | n/a | 18 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,543.70 0% | 14.4% | Mex$6,676.61 | Mex$3,937.49 | n/a | 17 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,451.34 0% | 12.7% | Mex$6,855.19 | Mex$4,130.69 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,567.43 0% | 12.7% | Mex$6,992.15 | Mex$4,213.22 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,387.50 0% | 13.4% | Mex$6,343.88 | Mex$3,784.70 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,543.20 0% | 14.2% | Mex$6,783.42 | Mex$3,902.79 | n/a | 15 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$4,539.64 0% | 11.4% | Mex$5,555.68 | Mex$3,528.61 | n/a | 15 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$4,557.65 0% | 11.0% | Mex$5,733.73 | Mex$3,583.58 | n/a | 14 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,528.95 0% | 11.6% | Mex$5,670.09 | Mex$3,543.80 | n/a | 14 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,624.32 0% | 8.5% | Mex$5,324.37 | Mex$3,648.18 | n/a | 16 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,833.85 0% | 9.1% | Mex$5,652.05 | Mex$3,936.25 | n/a | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.