Stock Analysis

Reflecting on Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V's (BMV:PINFRA) Share Price Returns Over The Last Five Years

BMV:PINFRA *
Source: Shutterstock

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:PINFRA), since the last five years saw the share price fall 28%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 25% over the last twelve months. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 12% in a month.

View our latest analysis for Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Looking back five years, both Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 2.7% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 6% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:PINFRA * Earnings Per Share Growth February 2nd 2021

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V's TSR for the last 5 years was -21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 0.6% in the last year, Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V shareholders lost 22% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MX exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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