FedEx Corporation

BMV:FDX * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.5t

FedEx Valuation

Is FDX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FDX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FDX * (MX$6169.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3499.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FDX * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FDX *?

Key metric: As FDX * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FDX *. This is calculated by dividing FDX *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is FDX *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.3x
EarningsUS$4.04b
Market CapUS$74.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FDX *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FDX * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
UPS United Parcel Service
20.4x13.0%US$115.2b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.4x9.0%€39.8b
DSV DSV
32.2x10.0%DKK 348.1b
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de
22.2x18.0%Mex$190.2b
FDX * FedEx
18.3x10.8%Mex$74.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FDX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FDX *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies32PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FDX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FDX *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FDX * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FDX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FDX * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$6,169.50
Mex$6,408.39
+3.9%
10.7%Mex$7,542.47Mex$4,132.86n/a29
Nov ’25Mex$5,605.00
Mex$5,971.43
+6.5%
10.4%Mex$6,787.66Mex$3,878.66n/a29
Oct ’25Mex$5,387.00
Mex$5,961.22
+10.7%
10.6%Mex$6,786.13Mex$3,866.74n/a29
Sep ’25Mex$5,920.00
Mex$6,271.30
+5.9%
10.3%Mex$7,010.89Mex$4,187.06n/a29
Aug ’25Mex$5,571.00
Mex$5,915.83
+6.2%
10.3%Mex$6,620.82Mex$3,965.12n/a28
Jul ’25Mex$5,472.50
Mex$5,809.66
+6.2%
10.4%Mex$6,568.08Mex$3,933.53n/a28
Jun ’25Mex$4,169.72
Mex$5,171.97
+24.0%
10.2%Mex$5,858.51Mex$3,505.09n/a28
May ’25n/a
Mex$5,089.93
0%
9.9%Mex$5,759.28Mex$3,445.72n/a30
Apr ’25Mex$4,674.00
Mex$5,134.08
+9.8%
10.1%Mex$5,837.66Mex$3,492.62n/a29
Mar ’25Mex$4,205.12
Mex$5,024.13
+19.5%
10.5%Mex$5,933.08Mex$3,334.15n/a30
Feb ’25Mex$4,102.00
Mex$4,980.48
+21.4%
10.0%Mex$5,851.88Mex$3,457.16n/a31
Jan ’25Mex$4,297.00
Mex$4,993.35
+16.2%
10.1%Mex$6,112.84Mex$3,480.92n/a31
Dec ’24Mex$4,548.00
Mex$5,015.75
+10.3%
11.0%Mex$6,357.75Mex$3,522.54n/a30
Nov ’24Mex$4,131.62
Mex$5,227.03
+26.5%
10.6%Mex$6,658.26Mex$3,689.04Mex$5,605.0030
Oct ’24Mex$4,635.00
Mex$4,974.56
+7.3%
11.1%Mex$5,793.22Mex$3,598.82Mex$5,387.0030
Sep ’24Mex$4,445.00
Mex$4,501.28
+1.3%
10.9%Mex$5,332.49Mex$3,178.98Mex$5,920.0030
Aug ’24Mex$4,486.14
Mex$4,379.14
-2.4%
10.2%Mex$4,951.17Mex$3,132.37Mex$5,571.0030
Jul ’24Mex$4,269.00
Mex$4,372.00
+2.4%
10.7%Mex$4,966.89Mex$3,185.66Mex$5,472.5030
Jun ’24Mex$3,857.00
Mex$4,481.26
+16.2%
11.4%Mex$5,218.08Mex$3,183.91Mex$4,169.7229
May ’24Mex$4,095.00
Mex$4,536.31
+10.8%
11.7%Mex$5,491.16Mex$3,240.68n/a28
Apr ’24Mex$4,110.95
Mex$4,427.12
+7.7%
13.8%Mex$5,595.04Mex$2,659.94Mex$4,674.0027
Mar ’24Mex$3,700.00
Mex$3,721.87
+0.6%
15.1%Mex$4,722.66Mex$2,664.53Mex$4,205.1226
Feb ’24Mex$3,775.80
Mex$3,697.55
-2.1%
13.1%Mex$4,517.86Mex$2,729.54Mex$4,102.0026
Jan ’24Mex$3,395.00
Mex$3,794.21
+11.8%
14.1%Mex$5,026.72Mex$2,532.84Mex$4,297.0027
Dec ’23Mex$3,502.00
Mex$3,790.15
+8.2%
18.2%Mex$5,690.58Mex$2,411.26Mex$4,548.0027
Nov ’23Mex$3,214.00
Mex$3,894.45
+21.2%
18.1%Mex$5,879.32Mex$2,491.24Mex$4,131.6227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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