Guidewire Software, Inc.

BMV:GWRE * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$346.9b

Guidewire Software Valuation

Is GWRE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GWRE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GWRE * (MX$3768.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$2760.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GWRE * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GWRE *?

Key metric: As GWRE * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GWRE *. This is calculated by dividing GWRE *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is GWRE *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio17.3x
SalesUS$980.50m
Market CapUS$16.94b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GWRE *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GWRE * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
SGE Sage Group
5.5x7.9%UK£12.8b
DOCU DocuSign
5.9x6.1%US$16.9b
BSY Bentley Systems
11.6x10.9%US$15.3b
MANH Manhattan Associates
16.7x9.8%US$17.1b
GWRE * Guidewire Software
17.3x12.7%Mex$16.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GWRE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GWRE *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

243 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies243PS02.85.68.411.214+
243 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GWRE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (17.3x) compared to the Global Software industry average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GWRE *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GWRE * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio17.3x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GWRE *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GWRE * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$3,956.12
0%
16.2%Mex$4,505.75Mex$2,560.09n/a13
Nov ’25Mex$3,768.76
Mex$3,813.75
+1.2%
14.8%Mex$4,359.47Mex$2,534.58n/a13
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$3,349.96
0%
13.4%Mex$3,924.64Mex$2,217.42n/a14
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$2,898.41
0%
17.2%Mex$3,470.72Mex$1,884.11n/a14
Aug ’25Mex$2,728.81
Mex$2,485.61
-8.9%
14.8%Mex$3,049.36Mex$1,704.05n/a14
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$2,519.76
0%
13.7%Mex$3,129.97Mex$1,749.10n/a14
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$2,143.68
0%
12.9%Mex$2,396.17Mex$1,359.53n/a14
May ’25n/a
Mex$2,106.48
0%
12.5%Mex$2,351.40Mex$1,334.13n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$2,106.48
0%
12.5%Mex$2,351.40Mex$1,334.13n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,968.19
0%
11.5%Mex$2,242.03Mex$1,369.18n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,961.79
0%
11.0%Mex$2,254.34Mex$1,376.70n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,896.82
0%
13.5%Mex$2,246.98Mex$1,372.20n/a14
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,746.45
0%
13.9%Mex$2,181.51Mex$1,194.64n/a14
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,700.49
0%
10.1%Mex$1,979.11Mex$1,241.44Mex$3,768.7614
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,634.02
0%
10.2%Mex$1,903.47Mex$1,194.00n/a14
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,473.72
0%
8.1%Mex$1,619.87Mex$1,176.54n/a14
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,451.50
0%
10.5%Mex$1,622.27Mex$1,109.97Mex$2,728.8114
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,451.50
0%
10.5%Mex$1,622.27Mex$1,109.97n/a14
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,473.33
0%
12.2%Mex$1,677.68Mex$1,059.59n/a14
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,495.32
0%
11.9%Mex$1,708.57Mex$1,079.09n/a14
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,495.32
0%
11.9%Mex$1,708.57Mex$1,079.09n/a14
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,489.14
0%
16.1%Mex$1,788.32Mex$1,035.34n/a14
Feb ’24Mex$1,503.72
Mex$1,489.14
-1.0%
16.1%Mex$1,788.32Mex$1,035.34n/a14
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,554.65
0%
17.5%Mex$1,963.13Mex$1,079.72n/a13
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,580.35
0%
16.3%Mex$2,011.35Mex$1,149.34n/a13
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$1,662.74
0%
17.2%Mex$2,094.00Mex$1,196.57n/a12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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