AppLovin Valuation
Is APP * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of APP * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: APP * (MX$2813.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$3759.44)
Significantly Below Fair Value: APP * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APP *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is APP *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$48.54b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 13x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 31.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does APP *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 60.3x | ||
DSY Dassault Systèmes | 39x | 13.6% | €43.8b |
FICO Fair Isaac | 101.1x | 18.6% | US$48.4b |
ROP Roper Technologies | 41.4x | 10.2% | US$59.8b |
ADSK Autodesk | 59.6x | 16.1% | US$63.0b |
APP * AppLovin | 58.9x | 25.0% | Mex$48.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APP * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.9x) compared to the peer average (60.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does APP *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.9x) compared to the Global Software industry average (31.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is APP *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 58.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate APP *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$2,813.15 | Mex$2,400.58 -14.7% | 27.1% | Mex$3,479.35 | Mex$1,133.27 | n/a | 20 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$2,511.46 | Mex$2,118.87 -15.6% | 24.5% | Mex$3,053.87 | Mex$1,123.04 | n/a | 19 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,881.19 0% | 16.1% | Mex$2,266.06 | Mex$1,123.18 | n/a | 18 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,728.03 0% | 19.6% | Mex$2,156.39 | Mex$900.06 | n/a | 18 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,511.44 0% | 19.4% | Mex$1,918.99 | Mex$800.97 | n/a | 17 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,511.44 0% | 19.4% | Mex$1,918.99 | Mex$800.97 | n/a | 17 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,247.40 0% | 18.5% | Mex$1,507.16 | Mex$650.82 | n/a | 18 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,103.96 0% | 16.6% | Mex$1,481.32 | Mex$639.66 | n/a | 17 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,109.02 0% | 16.2% | Mex$1,500.22 | Mex$647.82 | n/a | 17 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$873.28 0% | 18.7% | Mex$1,039.13 | Mex$484.93 | n/a | 17 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$864.70 0% | 18.6% | Mex$1,032.54 | Mex$481.85 | n/a | 17 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$870.07 0% | 18.7% | Mex$1,031.82 | Mex$481.52 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$808.25 0% | 18.5% | Mex$1,044.29 | Mex$403.06 | n/a | 18 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$750.06 0% | 21.1% | Mex$999.31 | Mex$350.63 | Mex$2,511.46 | 18 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$722.53 0% | 20.7% | Mex$971.92 | Mex$341.03 | n/a | 19 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$449.37 0% | 29.3% | Mex$820.48 | Mex$234.42 | n/a | 19 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$435.22 0% | 29.2% | Mex$839.23 | Mex$239.78 | n/a | 18 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$443.26 0% | 30.5% | Mex$874.22 | Mex$249.78 | n/a | 18 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$363.62 0% | 40.5% | Mex$834.69 | Mex$163.31 | n/a | 18 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$377.24 0% | 41.0% | Mex$871.28 | Mex$170.47 | n/a | 18 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$381.08 0% | 40.2% | Mex$844.81 | Mex$165.29 | n/a | 18 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$447.36 0% | 56.9% | Mex$1,108.27 | Mex$131.49 | n/a | 19 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$530.05 0% | 47.4% | Mex$1,158.25 | Mex$215.94 | n/a | 18 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$532.62 0% | 45.2% | Mex$1,138.12 | Mex$212.19 | n/a | 18 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$888.63 0% | 34.0% | Mex$1,577.59 | Mex$512.72 | n/a | 16 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,057.74 0% | 24.5% | Mex$1,614.87 | Mex$605.58 | n/a | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.