Adobe Valuation

Is ADBE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADBE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADBE ($447.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($762.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADBE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADBE?

Key metric: As ADBE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADBE. This is calculated by dividing ADBE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADBE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.4x
EarningsUS$5.56b
Market CapUS$192.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADBE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADBE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average74.1x
INTU Intuit
61.7x17.3%US$178.4b
CRM Salesforce
55.4x14.4%US$321.8b
APP AppLovin
99.5x32.6%US$107.0b
CDNS Cadence Design Systems
79.6x13.9%US$82.2b
ADBE Adobe
35.4x12.8%US$192.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADBE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (74.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADBE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
2.1xn/aUS$132.17m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
1.4xn/aUS$23.88m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.5xn/aUS$13.26m
ULY Urgent.ly
0.07x-13.0%US$7.08m
ADBE 35.4xIndustry Avg. 40.8xNo. of Companies12PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADBE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the US Software industry average (40.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADBE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADBE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.4x
Fair PE Ratio50.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADBE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADBE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$447.17
US$586.00
+31.0%
10.3%US$700.00US$425.00n/a35
Dec ’25US$515.93
US$613.11
+18.8%
10.7%US$704.55US$440.00n/a34
Nov ’25US$482.80
US$612.02
+26.8%
10.6%US$704.55US$440.00n/a35
Oct ’25US$502.80
US$614.22
+22.2%
10.5%US$704.55US$450.00n/a35
Sep ’25US$574.41
US$604.54
+5.2%
10.5%US$700.00US$450.00n/a35
Aug ’25US$546.41
US$604.54
+10.6%
10.5%US$700.00US$450.00n/a35
Jul ’25US$560.01
US$606.33
+8.3%
11.0%US$700.00US$450.00n/a33
Jun ’25US$444.76
US$614.33
+38.1%
11.6%US$711.99US$445.00n/a34
May ’25US$469.39
US$617.38
+31.5%
11.5%US$711.99US$445.00n/a34
Apr ’25US$502.09
US$617.38
+23.0%
11.5%US$711.99US$445.00n/a34
Mar ’25US$570.93
US$646.13
+13.2%
9.5%US$754.87US$465.00n/a33
Feb ’25US$627.91
US$645.37
+2.8%
9.5%US$754.87US$465.00n/a33
Jan ’25US$596.60
US$637.37
+6.8%
9.2%US$735.00US$465.00n/a33
Dec ’24US$612.47
US$601.64
-1.8%
10.9%US$700.00US$428.00US$515.9333
Nov ’24US$544.50
US$597.00
+9.6%
10.4%US$660.00US$428.00US$482.8033
Oct ’24US$509.90
US$582.35
+14.2%
12.5%US$660.00US$390.00US$502.8034
Sep ’24US$563.21
US$542.58
-3.7%
11.9%US$660.00US$390.00US$574.4133
Aug ’24US$549.10
US$540.00
-1.7%
11.6%US$660.00US$390.00US$546.4133
Jul ’24US$488.99
US$522.56
+6.9%
11.9%US$600.00US$381.00US$560.0132
Jun ’24US$426.75
US$406.81
-4.7%
8.4%US$480.00US$321.00US$444.7631
May ’24US$374.15
US$403.28
+7.8%
10.4%US$557.00US$321.00US$469.3933
Apr ’24US$385.37
US$398.91
+3.5%
11.2%US$557.00US$321.00US$502.0932
Mar ’24US$323.38
US$391.62
+21.1%
11.9%US$557.70US$321.00US$570.9332
Feb ’24US$383.92
US$389.43
+1.4%
12.0%US$557.70US$321.00US$627.9132
Jan ’24US$336.53
US$387.07
+15.0%
9.9%US$475.00US$321.00US$596.6030
Dec ’23US$344.11
US$371.18
+7.9%
11.7%US$475.00US$310.00US$612.4728

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/11/29
Annual Earnings2024/11/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Adobe Inc. is covered by 75 analysts. 37 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company
Robert OliverBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research