O'Reilly Automotive Valuation
Is ORLY * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ORLY * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ORLY * (MX$18258) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$13116.84)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ORLY * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORLY *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is ORLY *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$61.57b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.3x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 18.9x |
PEG Ratio | 4.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ORLY *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 16.3x | ||
AZO AutoZone | 19.8x | 4.3% | US$51.0b |
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de | 9.1x | 5.9% | Mex$198.8b |
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V | 14.5x | n/a | Mex$31.8b |
CVNA Carvana | 21.7x | -9.6% | US$17.2b |
ORLY * O'Reilly Automotive | 25.7x | 5.8% | Mex$61.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORLY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ORLY *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORLY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (15.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ORLY *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 25.7x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORLY *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$18,258.00 | Mex$19,495.01 +6.8% | 9.9% | Mex$21,699.35 | Mex$13,785.47 | n/a | 23 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$18,622.94 0% | 9.9% | Mex$21,620.95 | Mex$12,972.57 | n/a | 23 |
Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$18,929.18 0% | 9.3% | Mex$21,372.75 | Mex$13,336.60 | n/a | 22 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$17,533.13 | Mex$17,884.53 +2.0% | 9.3% | Mex$20,134.18 | Mex$12,390.26 | n/a | 22 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$17,586.95 0% | 8.5% | Mex$19,743.09 | Mex$12,360.89 | n/a | 22 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,441.63 0% | 7.9% | Mex$18,901.41 | Mex$12,371.83 | n/a | 22 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$16,808.11 | Mex$18,308.96 +8.9% | 8.2% | Mex$19,917.15 | Mex$12,674.55 | n/a | 22 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,419.70 0% | 7.8% | Mex$18,707.47 | Mex$12,181.61 | n/a | 21 |
Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,028.36 0% | 7.8% | Mex$18,282.85 | Mex$11,905.11 | n/a | 21 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$15,792.73 | Mex$16,595.72 +5.1% | 8.5% | Mex$17,932.51 | Mex$11,343.35 | n/a | 22 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$16,652.34 0% | 8.6% | Mex$18,156.66 | Mex$11,702.87 | n/a | 22 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$15,798.66 | Mex$17,019.23 +7.7% | 8.6% | Mex$18,631.09 | Mex$12,008.66 | n/a | 22 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,204.94 0% | 8.8% | Mex$18,914.67 | Mex$12,012.16 | n/a | 22 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$16,067.40 0% | 7.6% | Mex$17,571.84 | Mex$11,534.34 | n/a | 21 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$16,338.98 0% | 7.8% | Mex$17,916.70 | Mex$11,760.70 | n/a | 21 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$15,064.18 | Mex$16,468.80 +9.3% | 7.9% | Mex$18,155.48 | Mex$11,917.44 | Mex$17,533.13 | 19 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$16,369.11 | Mex$17,192.98 +5.0% | 8.8% | Mex$18,735.81 | Mex$11,883.18 | n/a | 20 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$16,533.20 | Mex$16,765.35 +1.4% | 8.8% | Mex$18,269.81 | Mex$11,587.62 | n/a | 20 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$16,723.25 | Mex$16,829.36 +0.6% | 9.4% | Mex$18,744.42 | Mex$11,888.64 | Mex$16,808.11 | 20 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$14,230.21 | Mex$15,466.22 +8.7% | 7.7% | Mex$16,788.05 | Mex$11,831.19 | n/a | 20 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$14,010.05 | Mex$15,097.75 +7.8% | 7.7% | Mex$16,366.51 | Mex$11,534.11 | n/a | 20 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$15,174.48 0% | 7.9% | Mex$16,604.73 | Mex$11,816.86 | Mex$15,792.73 | 20 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$12,970.80 | Mex$14,669.35 +13.1% | 8.1% | Mex$16,206.56 | Mex$11,662.29 | n/a | 20 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$12,037.20 | Mex$14,509.48 +20.5% | 8.5% | Mex$15,863.37 | Mex$11,218.51 | Mex$15,798.66 | 19 |
May ’23 | Mex$12,460.60 | Mex$15,113.18 +21.3% | 8.1% | Mex$16,449.41 | Mex$11,632.96 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$13,962.49 | Mex$15,236.79 +9.1% | 9.5% | Mex$18,113.79 | Mex$11,459.34 | n/a | 19 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.