Macy's Valuation
Is M * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of M * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: M * (MX$326.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$484.03)
Significantly Below Fair Value: M * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is M *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$5.05b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.4x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.1x |
PEG Ratio | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does M *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 11.4x | ||
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de | 12.8x | n/a | Mex$58.4b |
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de | 9.2x | 5.9% | Mex$199.3b |
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de | 8.9x | n/a | Mex$16.6b |
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V | 14.5x | n/a | Mex$31.8b |
M * Macy's | 48.1x | 25.6% | Mex$5.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.1x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does M *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.1x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (20.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is M *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 48.1x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | n/a | Mex$350.09 0% | 20.2% | Mex$430.28 | Mex$172.11 | n/a | 13 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$328.20 | Mex$335.65 +2.3% | 20.2% | Mex$414.10 | Mex$165.64 | n/a | 13 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$306.50 | Mex$341.51 +11.4% | 19.1% | Mex$426.20 | Mex$170.48 | n/a | 13 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$313.90 | Mex$310.41 -1.1% | 22.4% | Mex$429.42 | Mex$188.94 | n/a | 13 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$302.29 0% | 22.4% | Mex$426.73 | Mex$187.76 | n/a | 14 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$292.01 | Mex$267.97 -8.2% | 21.0% | Mex$430.62 | Mex$189.47 | n/a | 14 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$211.99 | Mex$279.71 +31.9% | 23.8% | Mex$448.25 | Mex$179.30 | n/a | 13 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$201.14 | Mex$286.61 +42.5% | 24.5% | Mex$439.79 | Mex$175.92 | n/a | 13 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$207.00 | Mex$277.11 +33.9% | 24.5% | Mex$418.88 | Mex$167.55 | n/a | 13 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$275.01 | Mex$324.37 +17.9% | 21.0% | Mex$438.00 | Mex$206.12 | n/a | 13 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$262.50 | Mex$324.37 +23.6% | 21.0% | Mex$438.00 | Mex$206.12 | n/a | 13 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$239.52 | Mex$370.16 +54.5% | 20.4% | Mex$473.94 | Mex$223.81 | n/a | 12 |
May ’24 | Mex$294.00 | Mex$435.46 +48.1% | 18.0% | Mex$527.36 | Mex$254.59 | n/a | 13 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$307.90 | Mex$425.20 +38.1% | 17.8% | Mex$522.65 | Mex$252.31 | Mex$328.20 | 14 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$374.99 | Mex$434.23 +15.8% | 16.4% | Mex$550.97 | Mex$257.12 | Mex$306.50 | 16 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$439.66 | Mex$443.77 +0.9% | 16.6% | Mex$563.08 | Mex$262.77 | Mex$313.90 | 16 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$460.12 0% | 17.3% | Mex$574.67 | Mex$268.18 | n/a | 15 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$450.00 | Mex$460.12 +2.2% | 17.3% | Mex$574.67 | Mex$268.18 | Mex$292.01 | 15 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$415.03 | Mex$449.84 +8.4% | 19.8% | Mex$601.75 | Mex$260.76 | Mex$211.99 | 15 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$336.67 | Mex$451.30 +34.0% | 20.1% | Mex$599.07 | Mex$259.60 | Mex$201.14 | 14 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$343.58 | Mex$471.02 +37.1% | 20.6% | Mex$596.59 | Mex$258.52 | Mex$207.00 | 14 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$362.50 | Mex$535.84 +47.8% | 24.9% | Mex$736.68 | Mex$266.02 | Mex$275.01 | 14 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$354.50 | Mex$528.14 +49.0% | 20.8% | Mex$704.93 | Mex$293.72 | Mex$262.50 | 14 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$470.00 | Mex$532.11 +13.2% | 21.0% | Mex$708.54 | Mex$295.22 | Mex$239.52 | 14 |
May ’23 | Mex$487.21 | Mex$620.49 +27.4% | 27.4% | Mex$992.79 | Mex$397.12 | Mex$294.00 | 14 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$480.00 | Mex$620.49 +29.3% | 27.4% | Mex$992.79 | Mex$397.12 | Mex$307.90 | 14 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.