Nordstrom Valuation

Is JWN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JWN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JWN * (MX$463) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1159.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JWN * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JWN *?

Key metric: As JWN * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JWN *. This is calculated by dividing JWN *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is JWN *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.9x
EarningsUS$284.00m
Market CapUS$3.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JWN *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JWN * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de
12.8xn/aMex$58.4b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.4x5.1%Mex$142.2b
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de
6.3xn/aMex$16.6b
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
16.8xn/aMex$27.8b
JWN * Nordstrom
12.9x19.2%Mex$3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JWN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JWN *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies21PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JWN * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JWN *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JWN * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate JWN *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JWN * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$451.73
0%
23.2%Mex$779.23Mex$263.12n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$442.15
0%
23.5%Mex$767.31Mex$259.09n/a15
Oct ’25Mex$444.00
Mex$442.15
-0.4%
23.5%Mex$767.31Mex$259.09n/a15
Sep ’25Mex$426.41
Mex$429.16
+0.6%
24.3%Mex$756.12Mex$255.31n/a15
Aug ’25Mex$428.39
Mex$362.78
-15.3%
27.6%Mex$689.67Mex$214.96n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$354.11
0%
27.8%Mex$682.17Mex$212.62n/a15
Jun ’25Mex$370.00
Mex$339.07
-8.4%
27.8%Mex$653.18Mex$203.59n/a15
May ’25n/a
Mex$332.40
0%
30.0%Mex$656.74Mex$204.70n/a16
Apr ’25Mex$315.41
Mex$318.60
+1.0%
31.6%Mex$640.31Mex$199.58n/a16
Mar ’25Mex$348.00
Mex$306.13
-12.0%
34.8%Mex$682.66Mex$204.80n/a16
Feb ’25Mex$339.20
Mex$296.30
-12.6%
36.4%Mex$687.07Mex$206.12n/a16
Jan ’25Mex$311.00
Mex$296.16
-4.8%
35.4%Mex$687.32Mex$206.20n/a17
Dec ’24Mex$277.00
Mex$296.16
+6.9%
35.4%Mex$687.32Mex$206.20n/a17
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$348.10
0%
33.0%Mex$732.83Mex$201.53n/a16
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$342.96
0%
31.6%Mex$701.27Mex$192.85Mex$444.0016
Sep ’24Mex$263.96
Mex$329.57
+24.9%
31.1%Mex$671.74Mex$184.73Mex$426.4116
Aug ’24Mex$374.38
Mex$341.13
-8.9%
31.1%Mex$702.00Mex$210.60Mex$428.3916
Jul ’24Mex$328.00
Mex$341.13
+4.0%
31.1%Mex$702.00Mex$210.60n/a16
Jun ’24Mex$277.20
Mex$340.10
+22.7%
31.4%Mex$702.14Mex$210.64Mex$370.0016
May ’24Mex$282.00
Mex$355.94
+26.2%
30.4%Mex$720.90Mex$216.27n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$355.94
0%
30.4%Mex$720.90Mex$216.27Mex$315.4116
Mar ’24Mex$360.00
Mex$356.95
-0.8%
29.9%Mex$736.40Mex$220.92Mex$348.0018
Feb ’24Mex$370.00
Mex$351.68
-5.0%
30.8%Mex$750.77Mex$225.23Mex$339.2019
Jan ’24Mex$313.00
Mex$430.65
+37.6%
29.6%Mex$826.32Mex$236.09Mex$311.0018
Dec ’23Mex$387.00
Mex$427.46
+10.5%
28.7%Mex$811.96Mex$231.99Mex$277.0018
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$446.27
0%
28.5%Mex$841.34Mex$240.38n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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